NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Excitement	3.2 [930]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +11.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	89		Comeback	1.0 [742]		LVP	Monta Ellis (MIL): -6.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.02	-0.04	21	60%	0.18	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.01	-0.10	14	53%	0.12	3	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Serge Ibaka	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	68%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	8	78%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
James Harden	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	7	76%	0.06	3	-0.04	7	86%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lazar Hayward	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	9	82%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	64%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	6	15%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	45%	-0.04	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	12	35%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	29.8	14.8	26.0	2.5	27.6	128.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +39.1%

OKC +9.3%

OKC +0.5%

OKC +1.2%

MIL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIL	NBA	OKC	MIL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.6	15.6	116.0	91.8	102.8
season	14.7	14.6		107.9	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.8		103.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.3	15.0	14.4	17.3	15.5
MIL	14.7	14.4	15.5	14.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	74	76	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.19	21	-1	22	15.6	15.2	0.34	14.3	16.0	-1.72
Thabo Sefolosha	60	61	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.37	27	-7	34	15.5	15.6	-0.06	15.0	14.1	0.81
Russell Westbrook	53	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	3	14	14.9	16.4	-1.50	14.7	14.6	0.14
Kendrick Perkins	48	48	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	5	10	14.9	16.2	-1.28	14.5	14.8	-0.38
Serge Ibaka	56	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	8	4	15.2	16.1	-0.89	14.4	14.9	-0.51
James Harden	42	44	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.20	13	7	6	16.2	15.0	1.25	14.8	14.5	0.27
Nick Collison	35	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.18	11	9	2	16.5	14.9	1.63	15.4	14.2	1.27
Derek Fisher	41	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.00	3	17	-14	16.4	14.9	1.50	14.6	14.7	-0.14
Daequan Cook	20	21	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	21	-22	15.2	15.6	-0.34	16.0	14.3	1.72
Nazr Mohammed	8	9	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	20	-20	16.0	15.5	0.52	17.7	14.3	3.33
Royal Ivey	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	15.0	15.6	-0.59	12.8	14.9	-2.07
Lazar Hayward	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	15.0	15.6	-0.59	13.0	14.9	-1.88
Cole Aldrich	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	15.0	15.6	-0.59	12.8	14.9	-2.07

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Brockman	12	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-26	32	13.0	14.9	-1.88	15.0	15.6	-0.59
Tobias Harris	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-23	26	13.0	14.9	-1.88	15.3	15.5	-0.22
Shaun Livingston	25	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-20	20	13.7	15.0	-1.25	17.3	14.9	2.38
Ekpe Udoh	27	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.14	-8	-12	4	14.7	14.6	0.13	16.6	15.1	1.46
Beno Udrih	36	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-16	12	14.3	14.9	-0.55	16.2	15.1	1.07
Luc Mbah a Moute	37	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-14	8	14.8	14.5	0.26	16.2	15.1	1.10
Mike Dunleavy	35	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	-8	-4	15.7	14.1	1.58	15.9	15.3	0.58
Larry Sanders	30	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-12	4	14.2	14.8	-0.60	14.3	16.1	-1.80
Drew Gooden	36	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-13	6	14.5	14.8	-0.28	15.6	15.5	0.17
Ersan Ilyasova	47	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-7	-6	15.5	13.8	1.67	15.8	15.2	0.57
Carlos Delfino	65	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-5	-10	14.8	14.3	0.55	15.2	16.2	-1.06
Brandon Jennings	56	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-3	-14	14.5	14.8	-0.31	14.9	16.5	-1.60
Monta Ellis	67	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	-1	-18	14.7	14.5	0.26	14.8	17.1	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 86, NJN 68	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
PHX 110, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
NOP 122, PHX 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%