NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	3.0 [1185]		MVP	Grant Hill (PHX): +10.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Comeback	1.0 [883]		LVP	Craig Smith (MIN): -12.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.02	8	90%	0.15	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	70%	0.11	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Alando Tucker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	53%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	12	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	11	35%	-0.02	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	12	72%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	56%	-0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	0.00	0.07	17	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	10	59%	0.05	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	11	37%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	12	34%	-0.07	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	1.7	29.0	15.5	26.4	2.7	26.2	130.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.4%

PHX +11.1%

PHX +4.3%

PHX +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	13.2	15.4	15.5	110.0	96.0	106.4
season	14.1	15.8		112.1	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		109.2	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	10.7	13.8	13.4	15.0	13.2
MIN	18.1	15.0	14.3	14.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	46	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	-4	21	12.3	14.0	-1.78	17.2	13.9	3.29
Leandro Barbosa	48	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.39	25	-12	37	11.9	14.4	-2.55	16.4	14.5	1.97
Steve Nash	35	35	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	-4	21	11.2	14.3	-3.15	18.5	13.8	4.77
Matt Barnes	32	32	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.14	15	-2	17	10.9	14.3	-3.45	18.6	14.0	4.59
Robin Lopez	55	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	2	9	13.6	12.8	0.80	14.9	16.1	-1.24
Shaquille O'Neal	39	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	10	-7	12.6	13.6	-0.95	16.0	15.1	0.89
Jason Richardson	33	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	13	-13	13.6	13.0	0.62	15.1	15.6	-0.54
Lou Amundson	61	61	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.30	-5	18	-23	14.4	11.4	3.05	14.0	17.5	-3.52
Jared Dudley	54	55	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	17	-21	14.0	12.3	1.78	13.9	17.2	-3.29
Goran Dragic	57	57	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.32	-7	20	-27	14.4	11.7	2.71	13.7	17.7	-3.96
Alando Tucker	27	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.35	-9	22	-31	15.3	12.5	2.79	13.6	16.1	-2.45
Stromile Swift	13	14	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	11	-9	13.6	13.2	0.45	15.0	15.5	-0.49

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-19	25	12.7	15.9	-3.16	15.9	12.8	3.11
Brian Cardinal	42	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.42	10	-23	33	13.8	16.6	-2.85	14.3	12.4	1.98
Shelden Williams	41	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.00	-5	-8	3	14.8	15.9	-1.09	14.3	12.5	1.74
Bobby Brown	38	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-10	7	14.6	15.9	-1.32	14.4	12.5	1.94
Craig Smith	45	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.18	-14	1	-15	15.4	15.4	-0.01	13.3	13.1	0.23
Kevin Love	41	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-3	-7	16.4	14.8	1.62	11.9	14.2	-2.35
Jason Collins	23	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.14	-14	1	-15	16.9	15.0	1.87	11.7	13.7	-2.04
Mike Miller	67	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-8	3	15.9	14.5	1.40	13.2	13.2	0.05
Ryan Gomes	50	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-2	-9	16.9	14.0	2.92	12.1	14.3	-2.27
Sebastian Telfair	71	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-3	-7	16.0	14.2	1.79	12.5	14.9	-2.44
Rodney Carney	72	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-4	-5	14.8	17.1	-2.31	13.5	12.5	0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 116, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
BOS 119, MEM 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
OKC 109, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%