NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	114		Excitement	3.0 [1165]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +18.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	1.2 [1077]		LVP	Ricky Davis (CLE): -7.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.19	0.01	0.02	13	83%	0.18	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.00	-0.08	6	50%	0.05	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.03	6	79%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	8	67%	0.05	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Qyntel Woods	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	71%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	11	55%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	9	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	63%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	16	53%	0.02	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	70%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	16	47%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	6	42%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	-0.07	20	35%	-0.05	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.7	24.2	15.6	30.2	1.8	27.3	128.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +32.8%

POR +10.7%

CLE -1.5%

POR +8.3%

CLE -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CLE	NBA	POR	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.5	118.8	99.0	101.6
season	16.0	15.1		104.3	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.7		104.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	16.5	13.1	19.6	15.7
CLE	13.9	14.8	14.1	14.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	61	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.32	29	-10	39	13.7	19.1	-5.40	15.1	12.9	2.19
Derek Anderson	62	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.27	27	-8	35	13.9	18.8	-4.86	14.7	13.7	1.03
Rasheed Wallace	68	68	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.15	22	-3	25	14.3	18.9	-4.62	14.3	14.4	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	56	56	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.22	24	-5	29	13.4	18.8	-5.39	14.5	14.1	0.46
Scottie Pippen	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.15	19	0	19	13.6	18.0	-4.41	14.3	14.3	0.01
Jeff McInnis	42	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	22	-25	18.1	13.8	4.29	13.6	14.9	-1.28
Ruben Patterson	42	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	22	-25	18.2	13.7	4.51	14.3	14.3	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	26	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	19.1	14.4	4.74	14.1	14.4	-0.29
Qyntel Woods	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	20.1	15.2	4.87	10.9	14.7	-3.78
Zach Randolph	29	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	24	-29	18.6	14.4	4.25	13.9	14.6	-0.69
Damon Stoudamire	34	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.17	-7	26	-33	19.5	13.6	5.91	14.2	14.4	-0.17

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	13	13	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.16	7	-26	33	13.5	14.5	-0.93	19.2	15.1	4.13
Michael Stewart	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-15	11	16.5	14.1	2.41	14.7	15.8	-1.07
Dajuan Wagner	56	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-19	19	14.6	13.9	0.72	16.4	14.6	1.80
DeSagana Diop	18	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-17	15	13.0	14.7	-1.65	16.3	15.5	0.76
Milt Palacio	14	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	-9	-1	14.7	14.3	0.43	14.0	15.9	-1.94
Chris Mihm	32	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.09	-10	-9	-1	15.6	13.7	1.87	15.9	15.5	0.37
Smush Parker	37	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-12	5	13.5	14.9	-1.39	16.8	14.8	2.00
Jumaine Jones	49	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-11	3	15.1	13.6	1.55	16.5	14.8	1.72
Darius Miles	61	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	-3	-13	13.8	15.4	-1.62	14.9	16.9	-2.01
Carlos Boozer	51	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-9	-1	14.0	14.8	-0.78	15.0	16.4	-1.36
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	58	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.12	-16	-3	-13	14.2	14.6	-0.39	15.2	16.4	-1.22
Ricky Davis	81	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	0	-19	14.5	13.7	0.72	14.9	18.9	-3.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, MIL 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
LAC 122, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.18,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
POR 86, NJN 68	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%