inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 89 Excitement3.6 [1059] MVPJames Posey (DEN): +5.7%
Denver Nuggets 68 Comeback1.0 [1132] LVPGeorge McCloud (DEN): -9.4%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robert Horry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.020.03580%0.071-0.0400%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0.030,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01764%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Mitch Richmond0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.01959%0.051-0.044100%0.02
Slava Medvedenko0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.010.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Rick Fox0.010,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.023100%0.052-0.0420%-0.03
Jelani McCoy0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Joe Crispin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.010.041567%0.084-0.10683%0.01
Brian Shaw-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Devean George-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.00-0.05828%-0.031-0.00250%-0.01
Samaki Walker-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.03325%-0.012-0.0420%-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal-0.060,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.140.01-0.071132%-0.051-0.00922%-0.08

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.020.01-0.06756%0.072-0.022100%0.02
Shawnelle Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.02667%0.0200.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.03935%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.00250%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01625%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.02933%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.03617%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Scott Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.120.01-0.04817%-0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.030.012244%-0.081-0.014100%0.02
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.020.02939%-0.062-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.11.825.115.726.22.322.6116.8
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +48.5%
DEN -2.0%
LAL +16.5%
DEN -14.5%
LAL +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game15.717.415.6102.378.2102.3
season15.316.1106.999.7
opponent15.215.4105.999.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL15.319.013.715.815.7
DEN16.018.915.120.217.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal61600.380.120.25-0.2722-12316.613.72.8617.317.4-0.11
Mitch Richmond34330.360.140.22-0.191921715.515.9-0.3919.516.13.46
Samaki Walker48470.340.160.18-0.07147714.916.8-1.9716.418.5-2.19
Rick Fox57580.300.200.090.06813-515.117.0-1.8815.920.3-4.41
Brian Shaw23210.270.230.04-0.08129316.815.41.4216.617.6-0.99
Robert Horry38380.260.240.01-0.18156915.615.8-0.2318.016.91.08
Kobe Bryant69700.240.26-0.02-0.20156915.715.8-0.0516.819.9-3.13
Devean George39390.190.31-0.11-0.101011-117.314.42.9019.615.64.03
Lindsey Hunter38400.170.33-0.170.08318-1514.117.0-2.9416.318.3-2.02
Slava Medvedenko14150.040.46-0.420.13-324-2712.916.3-3.3517.117.4-0.36
Jelani McCoy440.000.50-0.500.09-324-2718.015.62.3724.717.07.74
Joe Crispin1010-0.040.54-0.580.17-728-3520.515.15.3820.517.03.54

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Calbert Cheaney67-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-191722.817.05.8717.015.61.37
James Posey4445-0.07-0.430.370.17-8-13516.818.0-1.1615.116.4-1.34
Shawnelle Scott2424-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-2-191719.916.43.4616.515.41.11
Voshon Lenard1616-0.15-0.350.21-0.03-4-171320.016.83.2317.415.42.09
Tariq Abdul-Wahad2727-0.23-0.270.050.13-12-9-316.018.0-2.0415.216.0-0.80
Ryan Bowen5857-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.06-7-14717.217.7-0.4816.314.61.73
Raef LaFrentz5556-0.28-0.22-0.070.19-16-5-1117.117.8-0.7015.516.2-0.76
Avery Johnson4241-0.30-0.20-0.110.08-13-8-519.115.73.4316.914.72.25
Nick Van Exel7372-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.04-11-10-116.522.0-5.5215.417.4-2.01
Scott Williams3131-0.38-0.12-0.260.15-18-3-1516.917.6-0.7714.516.4-1.89
George McCloud5959-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.05-12-9-316.618.9-2.2515.516.3-0.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.23,0.25,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 95, NJN 790.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
MIN 116, MEM 1100.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,095.4%
MEM 97, MIA 820.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%