NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	93		Excitement	3.7 [1031]		MVP	Derek Anderson (SAS): +4.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	83		Comeback	1.0 [1189]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): -8.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	72%	0.07	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	24	55%	0.11	4	-0.08	10	60%	-0.03
Danny Ferry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	55%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	64%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	15	49%	0.02	3	-0.03	11	55%	-0.02
Avery Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	14	53%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	11	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	11	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.4	25.4	17.3	26.8	1.8	34.4	131.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +40.5%

LAC -1.3%

SAS +7.9%

LAC -0.8%

SAS +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	17.3	15.5	106.9	94.3	100.9
season	15.9	16.1		103.4	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.6	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.3	16.5	16.1	16.7	15.6
LAC	17.3	17.8	18.1	16.0	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	74	75	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.08	13	-3	16	15.2	17.8	-2.55	17.5	16.2	1.26
Danny Ferry	51	54	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	-6	22	13.8	18.1	-4.29	16.6	18.5	-1.90
David Robinson	56	58	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	-4	18	15.1	16.5	-1.48	16.7	18.6	-1.91
Derek Anderson	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	3	4	15.5	16.3	-0.81	17.5	16.3	1.22
Terry Porter	48	49	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-4	18	13.4	18.3	-4.82	16.2	18.7	-2.49
Samaki Walker	16	17	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	4	2	15.8	15.5	0.26	16.9	17.4	-0.45
Sean Elliott	34	33	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	11	-12	17.7	14.2	3.51	18.8	16.4	2.37
Avery Johnson	39	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	14	-18	18.3	13.4	4.82	18.7	16.2	2.49
Antonio Daniels	14	14	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.07	-1	11	-12	17.9	15.2	2.69	16.9	17.4	-0.45
Steve Kerr	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	11	-12	14.3	15.6	-1.31	10.7	17.5	-6.87
Shawnelle Scott	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	10.0	15.7	-5.66	15.0	17.3	-2.33
Malik Rose	27	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.29	-11	21	-32	17.8	14.6	3.21	18.6	16.8	1.81

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cherokee Parks	3	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-9	8	26.0	17.0	9.00	8.7	15.8	-7.18
Quentin Richardson	26	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-11	12	17.4	17.3	0.11	17.8	14.7	3.15
Keyon Dooling	48	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.25	4	-14	18	17.6	16.9	0.75	17.0	13.9	3.08
Sean Rooks	45	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-11	12	17.4	17.2	0.24	16.4	14.7	1.68
Derek Strong	62	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-14	18	17.4	17.1	0.33	16.9	12.5	4.47
Darius Miles	26	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	2	-14	15.2	18.2	-2.95	13.7	16.4	-2.66
Michael Olowokandi	40	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	2	-14	17.7	17.0	0.77	14.3	16.6	-2.28
Eric Piatkowski	42	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	2	-14	17.4	17.2	0.14	14.0	17.1	-3.11
Corey Maggette	76	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	16.7	20.8	-4.08	15.3	17.6	-2.33
Jeff McInnis	72	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.04	-16	6	-22	17.6	16.0	1.60	15.1	17.6	-2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 77, ATL 68	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0	95.8%
SAC 99, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0	95.3%
UTA 98, PHX 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.1%