NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	2.9 [1221]		MVP	Rodney Hood (UTA): +10.0%
Phoenix Suns	89		Comeback	1.0 [1158]		LVP	Markieff Morris (PHX): -9.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	19	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	16	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	10	46%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Raul Neto	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trey Lyles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	12	75%	0.00
Erick Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	9	68%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.05	14	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan McRae	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.02	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	22	35%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	26.5	15.3	25.5	2.7	43.0	137.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +27.2%

UTA +1.0%

UTA +6.0%

UTA +7.7%

UTA +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	17.4	15.0	14.9	110.1	100.0	105.1
season	16.3	14.4		104.6	100.9
opponent	14.4	15.0		107.4	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.9	18.4	17.7	16.6	17.4
PHX	16.6	13.7	15.9	14.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	73	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-8	25	16.4	21.8	-5.42	14.9	15.4	-0.55
Raul Neto	71	70	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-3	15	16.9	19.2	-2.25	15.1	14.5	0.59
Rodney Hood	66	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	0	9	17.7	16.5	1.20	15.1	14.6	0.50
Trevor Booker	50	46	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	5	-1	17.5	17.2	0.25	14.0	16.0	-1.96
Rudy Gobert	63	64	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	0	9	17.3	17.4	-0.07	15.5	13.8	1.71
Derrick Favors	56	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-2	13	16.8	18.3	-1.53	15.5	14.0	1.44
Chris Johnson	19	20	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	8	-7	17.8	17.3	0.53	15.3	14.9	0.47
Joe Ingles	22	22	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.20	-6	15	-21	19.7	16.6	3.07	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Erick Green	16	17	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	15	-21	18.9	17.0	1.83	14.1	15.2	-1.15
Trey Lyles	9	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.10	-6	15	-21	20.4	17.0	3.42	13.2	15.2	-1.97

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	11	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.15	-11	2	-13	15.4	14.9	0.43	14.9	17.8	-2.84
Orlando Johnson	35	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-6	3	15.4	14.7	0.68	17.9	17.0	0.94
Mirza Teletovic	33	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-8	7	14.9	15.0	-0.08	18.4	16.7	1.76
Jordan McRae	17	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	1	-11	15.8	14.8	1.03	19.3	16.9	2.39
Tyson Chandler	48	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-4	-1	15.8	14.0	1.74	16.7	18.1	-1.38
PJ Tucker	71	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.42	6	-15	21	14.7	16.2	-1.48	17.4	17.3	0.07
Archie Goodwin	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-12	15	14.7	15.9	-1.22	17.2	17.9	-0.68
Markieff Morris	70	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.31	1	-10	11	14.6	16.3	-1.62	16.8	19.3	-2.57
Alex Len	27	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	4	-17	14.5	15.2	-0.68	18.6	16.8	1.75
Devin Booker	63	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	3	-15	15.1	14.7	0.36	17.1	18.0	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 113, TOR 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.15,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
DAL 100, CHA 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
SAS 103, SAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%