NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	2.2 [1267]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +9.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	83		Comeback	1.0 [586]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -7.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	21	60%	0.10	1	-0.01	11	91%	0.02
Josh Howard	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	15	62%	0.08	4	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	36%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Shawne Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	14	47%	-0.00	4	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.00	6	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	0.00	0.09	15	64%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	8	61%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	6	31%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	13	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	14	33%	-0.05	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	28.5	15.6	28.1	2.4	28.7	128.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +35.7%

DAL +1.3%

DAL +6.2%

DAL +3.8%

DAL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHA	NBA	DAL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.6	15.7	15.5	105.3	87.4	106.4
season	15.6	16.5		108.9	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.4		104.5	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.4	15.4	12.6	16.3	14.6
CHA	16.2	17.3	14.6	15.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	74	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-1	19	14.4	15.0	-0.62	15.2	17.5	-2.28
Jason Kidd	65	66	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	6	5	14.8	14.1	0.68	15.7	15.9	-0.21
Josh Howard	70	71	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.03	12	5	7	14.2	15.5	-1.24	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Erick Dampier	39	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.16	16	1	15	13.3	15.5	-2.18	15.8	15.7	0.13
Gerald Green	29	30	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.16	14	3	11	13.0	15.2	-2.21	16.5	15.4	1.10
Jason Terry	66	65	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	14	-11	15.2	13.0	2.21	15.4	16.5	-1.10
James Singleton	31	31	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	14	-11	15.0	14.4	0.59	16.7	15.3	1.38
Shawne Williams	25	24	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	12	-7	15.5	14.2	1.24	15.9	15.7	0.23
Jose Juan Barea	30	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	11	-5	14.1	14.8	-0.68	15.9	15.7	0.21
Brandon Bass	46	45	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	20	-23	15.6	13.6	2.02	15.9	15.6	0.23

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-25	33	16.2	15.6	0.62	17.0	13.7	3.25
Alexis Ajinca	18	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-21	25	12.8	16.4	-3.66	15.1	14.4	0.67
Adam Morrison	23	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-11	5	17.1	15.3	1.77	15.3	14.3	0.97
Nazr Mohammed	5	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-13	9	15.8	15.7	0.06	15.8	14.5	1.35
Shannon Brown	35	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.20	-14	-3	-11	16.2	15.5	0.67	15.1	14.3	0.83
Sean May	26	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-6	-5	16.2	15.6	0.56	13.7	14.9	-1.21
D.J. Augustin	70	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.23	0	-17	17	15.4	16.8	-1.48	15.5	12.1	3.38
Matt Carroll	25	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.23	-17	0	-17	16.8	15.4	1.48	12.1	15.5	-3.38
Gerald Wallace	68	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-17	17	15.5	16.4	-0.97	13.9	16.3	-2.43
Jared Dudley	52	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-4	-9	15.9	15.6	0.30	14.8	14.3	0.49
Emeka Okafor	58	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.26	-22	5	-27	15.9	15.4	0.52	13.4	16.3	-2.91
Raymond Felton	71	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-7	-3	15.5	16.3	-0.78	14.7	14.1	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, NJN 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
DET 100, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
HOU 124, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%