NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	113		Excitement	2.9 [1193]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +7.4%
Toronto Raptors	87		Comeback	1.0 [990]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -4.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.00	-0.10	15	51%	0.10	4	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	-0.00	-0.04	14	58%	0.09	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	67%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	13	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	68%	0.04	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.06	7	86%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	11	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othyus Jeffers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	60%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	9	39%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	15	45%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	2	87%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	18	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	10	60%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	29.2	16.4	26.6	2.6	32.2	132.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +28.9%

UTA +7.9%

UTA +10.6%

UTA +0.9%

UTA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.3	117.7	90.6	106.0
season	15.3	15.0		109.5	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.0		111.5	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.4	13.9	15.6	15.8	15.2
TOR	15.9	14.9	15.0	13.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	72	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.37	32	-6	38	14.4	17.5	-3.15	14.9	14.5	0.36
Deron Williams	74	74	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.38	31	-5	36	15.0	15.9	-0.89	14.9	14.7	0.12
Carlos Boozer	59	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.21	21	5	16	14.2	16.7	-2.44	15.2	14.2	0.94
Mehmet Okur	68	68	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.08	15	11	4	14.5	16.7	-2.22	15.4	13.5	1.87
Paul Millsap	53	53	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.12	12	14	-2	16.2	13.9	2.34	13.9	16.0	-2.09
CJ Miles	52	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	20	-14	14.6	15.9	-1.35	15.1	14.5	0.63
Kyle Korver	53	53	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	20	-14	16.4	13.7	2.76	14.7	14.9	-0.19
Othyus Jeffers	9	9	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.09	6	20	-14	15.3	15.2	0.17	13.4	15.0	-1.52
Sundiata Gaines	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	18.8	14.9	3.90	14.0	14.9	-0.87
Kosta Koufos	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	18.8	14.9	3.90	14.0	14.9	-0.87
Kyrylo Fesenko	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	18.8	14.9	3.90	14.0	14.9	-0.87
Ronnie Price	22	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	31	-36	15.9	15.0	0.89	14.7	14.9	-0.12

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	40	41	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.01	3	-29	32	13.2	16.0	-2.78	15.3	15.1	0.16
Marcus Banks	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-24	22	14.0	14.9	-0.87	18.8	14.9	3.90
Jarrett Jack	46	45	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-24	22	13.6	16.0	-2.37	16.4	14.1	2.34
Amir Johnson	22	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-18	10	14.3	15.0	-0.65	19.4	14.1	5.33
Sonny Weems	37	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.11	-9	-17	8	15.3	14.5	0.82	17.4	13.9	3.49
Antoine Wright	55	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-18	10	13.7	16.3	-2.65	15.5	14.8	0.70
Hedo Turkoglu	38	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-15	4	14.7	14.9	-0.14	13.2	16.6	-3.30
DeMar DeRozan	62	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.35	-24	-2	-22	15.6	13.4	2.14	14.9	15.7	-0.84
Chris Bosh	71	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	-8	-10	15.3	13.4	1.87	14.2	18.1	-3.88
Jose Calderon	45	45	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.20	-22	-4	-18	16.2	13.6	2.55	13.4	16.7	-3.26
Andrea Bargnani	59	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.35	-29	3	-32	15.5	13.7	1.82	14.8	15.7	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.15,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, PHX 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	97.0%
SAS 103, SAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
DEN 105, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%