NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	92		Excitement	8.7 [152]		MVP	Nick Collison (OKC): +17.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	6.6 [107]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -27.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.12	-0.00	6	60%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	9	55%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.06
Kendrick Perkins	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	3	100%	0.13	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.17,-0.18	-0.06	-0.14	-0.02	24	45%	-0.13	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27	-0.20	-0.09	-0.02	12	26%	-0.12	4	-0.15	10	70%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	8	78%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.14	-0.00	8	55%	0.23	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,0.16	0.15	-0.04	0.20	0.01	16	49%	0.21	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.10	0.00	16	52%	0.18	3	-0.08	18	67%	-0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	9	55%	0.02	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.06
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	6	33%	-0.09	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	33.3	15.8	28.1	2.5	39.3	145.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +51.5%

OKC -5.5%

LAC +10.7%

OKC -8.5%

LAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	15.5	95.8	103.2	105.7
season	15.0	15.4		108.8	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.6		107.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.2	15.0	16.1	16.2	15.6
LAC	14.2	14.4	15.1	14.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	30	31	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.06	1	-7	8	17.2	14.9	2.34	14.4	14.6	-0.21
Daequan Cook	14	15	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-9	12	14.8	15.8	-0.98	17.3	14.0	3.33
Eric Maynor	29	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	16.7	15.2	1.53	14.9	14.3	0.59
Thabo Sefolosha	42	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-3	0	15.5	15.7	-0.22	14.6	14.5	0.17
Serge Ibaka	55	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-2	-2	15.0	16.5	-1.55	15.3	13.5	1.82
James Harden	56	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.21	-4	-2	-2	15.7	15.5	0.13	14.1	15.2	-1.12
Nick Collison	45	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-2	-2	16.8	14.6	2.13	13.8	15.2	-1.40
Russell Westbrook	65	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.30	-6	0	-6	15.2	16.5	-1.36	14.7	14.2	0.46
Kendrick Perkins	62	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	-1	-4	14.6	17.5	-2.86	14.4	14.7	-0.21
Kevin Durant	82	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	3	-12	15.8	14.8	0.98	14.0	17.3	-3.33

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	62	62	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-7	20	14.6	14.4	0.25	14.9	17.0	-2.08
Eric Gordon	86	87	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-4	14	14.4	15.7	-1.26	15.7	15.0	0.69
Blake Griffin	86	87	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	0	6	14.0	19.6	-5.56	15.3	18.7	-3.36
Randy Foye	37	35	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	0	6	15.2	14.1	1.04	16.6	15.0	1.58
DeAndre Jordan	66	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	3	0	14.8	14.0	0.81	15.3	16.4	-1.08
Craig Smith	38	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	3	0	15.3	14.0	1.27	16.9	14.8	2.15
Al-Farouq Aminu	42	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.01	-1	7	-8	14.0	15.0	-0.99	15.1	16.0	-0.88
Eric Bledsoe	31	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	11	-16	13.6	15.0	-1.31	17.2	14.8	2.37
Jamario Moon	27	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	11	-16	15.7	14.1	1.64	14.7	16.0	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.35,0.22,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 101, MIN 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.74,1	92.7%
MIL 88, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.58,1	92.6%
IND 82, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.58,1	91.8%