NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	88		Excitement	9.2 [90]		MVP	Eric Snow (PHI): +26.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	5.7 [294]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -50.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	20	48%	0.10	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,-0.06	0.04	-0.10	0.00	10	62%	0.11	1	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Jason Caffey	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.10	-0.22	-0.01	18	45%	-0.11	4	-0.20	4	100%	0.04
Glenn Robinson	-0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.5	-0.04	-0.47	-0.01	20	50%	-0.37	3	-0.13	4	50%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.27	0.27	0.08	0.19	0.01	9	82%	0.37	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	68%	0.06	5	-0.11	9	100%	0.05
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	6	44%	-0.04	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.06
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.34	-0.34	-0.10	-0.24	-0.00	18	38%	-0.25	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.19
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.27,-0.27,-0.29,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34,-0.43,-0.43	-0.43	-0.30	-0.16	-0.03	27	25%	-0.37	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.7	34.2	19.7	29.1	2.7	38.0	150.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +9.3%

PHI +12.0%

MIL -18.1%

PHI +41.9%

PHI +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.3	17.2	15.5	96.7	96.7	100.9
season	14.9	15.7		105.9	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.8		97.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.5	12.6	15.9	16.8	14.3
PHI	17.5	15.6	17.6	18.4	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	61	63	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-5	9	13.5	15.8	-2.34	17.8	15.8	2.05
Darvin Ham	1	1	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-1	1	0.0	14.4	-14.42	24.0	17.1	6.88
Scott Williams	19	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	1	-3	13.1	14.6	-1.53	19.1	16.7	2.50
Lindsey Hunter	31	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	1	-3	14.9	13.9	1.02	15.0	18.3	-3.36
Sam Cassell	68	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.47	8	-9	17	13.9	15.4	-1.51	18.4	13.3	5.10
Jason Caffey	46	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-4	7	15.3	13.2	2.10	16.1	18.4	-2.27
Glenn Robinson	83	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.51	2	-3	5	14.3	13.6	0.70	17.6	12.6	5.01
Ray Allen	82	82	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.48	-8	7	-15	14.5	12.1	2.39	16.9	19.5	-2.59
Tim Thomas	64	62	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.49	-10	9	-19	14.5	13.6	0.90	16.2	19.3	-3.17

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	74	75	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.57	7	-6	13	17.7	15.3	2.38	14.3	14.2	0.02
Eric Snow	55	54	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.49	8	-7	15	15.3	20.0	-4.69	14.7	13.6	1.13
Dikembe Mutombo	89	89	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.43	4	-3	7	17.2	17.0	0.20	14.3	10.5	3.85
Aaron McKie	84	85	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	-2	5	17.7	12.4	5.28	14.2	15.0	-0.79
Allen Iverson	90	90	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	0	1	17.6	0.0	17.58	14.4	6.0	8.36
Kevin Ollie	2	1	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	1	-1	0.0	17.6	-17.58	6.0	14.4	-8.36
Raja Bell	4	3	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	1	-1	6.5	17.7	-11.18	12.3	14.3	-2.00
Todd MacCulloch	15	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	3	-5	15.0	17.6	-2.62	14.1	14.3	-0.22
Jumaine Jones	47	45	-0.55	1.05	-1.59	-0.08	-16	17	-33	19.4	14.8	4.60	13.8	14.7	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 92, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.35,0.22,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.58,1	92.6%
GSW 84, CHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.73,1	91.8%
NYK 84, GSW 86	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.46,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.42,1	91.6%