NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	84		Excitement	10.4 [61]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): +36.0%
Chicago Bulls	85		Comeback	3.8 [690]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -44.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.36	-0.05	0.40	-0.01	9	30%	0.36	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.29,0.29	0.05	0.24	-0.00	11	60%	0.35	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	68%	0.12	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Taft	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	16	46%	0.02	4	-0.14	5	80%	-0.06
Troy Murphy	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	9	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	10	10%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.45	-0.09	-0.35	0.01	19	37%	-0.40	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.27	0.27	0.01	0.27	0.00	4	64%	0.32	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.13
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.24,0.24	0.24	-0.01	0.25	-0.00	6	56%	0.29	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.01	0.19	0.00	10	52%	0.24	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.09
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	12	79%	0.29	5	-0.22	5	80%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Eddie Basden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.04	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	5	17%	-0.04	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	8	31%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.04	-0.19	0.00	4	60%	0.01	3	-0.24	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	27.5	15.6	26.2	2.6	35.0	135.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +33.2%

CHI +45.4%

CHI +1.1%

GSW -46.8%

CHI +17.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHI	NBA	GSW	CHI	NBA
this game	16.8	13.3	15.6	87.5	89.5	104.4
season	14.8	14.4		102.9	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.5		102.1	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.1	16.0	20.0	18.6	16.8
CHI	14.6	14.7	9.6	14.8	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Taft	40	41	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.02	8	-9	17	16.0	17.4	-1.33	13.3	13.4	-0.03
Zarko Cabarkapa	30	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-6	11	16.3	17.0	-0.68	13.4	13.3	0.04
Derek Fisher	53	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.37	10	-11	21	17.0	16.6	0.36	13.3	13.4	-0.05
Mike Dunleavy	52	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	0	-1	16.9	16.7	0.26	13.4	13.3	0.15
Adonal Foyle	48	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	7	-15	17.6	16.0	1.60	14.1	12.7	1.43
Jason Richardson	68	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-2	3	17.6	14.8	2.85	13.6	12.8	0.74
Calbert Cheaney	26	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	5	-11	14.9	17.5	-2.63	11.9	13.9	-2.05
Mickael Pietrus	53	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.37	1	-2	3	16.3	17.4	-1.07	13.1	13.7	-0.60
Troy Murphy	50	51	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.35	-8	7	-15	16.5	17.1	-0.55	12.6	14.2	-1.53
Baron Davis	60	59	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.51	-7	6	-13	17.2	16.1	1.06	14.0	12.2	1.75

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	39	39	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-8	17	13.1	13.5	-0.44	17.7	16.2	1.54
Kirk Hinrich	71	72	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	-2	5	13.7	12.2	1.45	17.7	14.2	3.51
Tyson Chandler	58	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	3	-5	13.7	12.8	0.91	17.5	15.7	1.80
Michael Sweetney	40	39	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	-2	5	12.7	13.8	-1.10	17.3	16.5	0.85
Darius Songaila	54	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	-8	17	12.8	14.1	-1.30	16.4	17.3	-0.99
Luol Deng	66	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	6	-11	13.6	12.8	0.83	16.8	16.7	0.12
Eric Piatkowski	27	27	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	-5	11	12.4	13.7	-1.35	16.7	16.8	-0.09
Ben Gordon	56	56	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	3	-5	13.2	13.5	-0.21	16.6	17.1	-0.47
Jannero Pargo	24	24	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	3	-5	12.2	13.7	-1.45	14.2	17.7	-3.51
Eddie Basden	20	21	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	8	-15	14.3	13.1	1.28	17.1	16.7	0.38
Othella Harrington	20	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	8	-15	15.3	12.8	2.49	13.4	17.7	-4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.58,1	91.8%
NYK 74, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.91,1	91.6%
CLE 91, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.6,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.72,1	91.4%