NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	84		Excitement	8.7 [174]		MVP	Troy Murphy (GSW): +31.6%
Golden State Warriors	86		Comeback	3.9 [683]		LVP	Malik Rose (NYK): -17.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.1,0.25,0.25	0.04	0.19	-0.02	16	58%	0.30	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.05
Stephon Marbury	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	17	58%	0.17	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Antonio Davis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.13	0.00	5	50%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Nate Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.00	-0.07	0.02	7	57%	-0.03	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.08
Quentin Richardson	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	9	50%	0.07	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	3	0%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.11	0.22	0.02	11	79%	0.38	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.11	0.00	6	36%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.00	6	46%	0.12	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Miles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Taft	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	21	50%	0.04	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.03
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	12	39%	0.06	3	-0.14	7	71%	-0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	27%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	27.6	16.8	25.2	2.4	31.4	130.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +32.8%

NYK -1.3%

NYK -1.8%

GSW +1.6%

GSW +18.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	GSW	NBA	NYK	GSW	NBA
this game	17.1	15.1	15.6	93.3	96.6	104.4
season	15.7	14.8		102.1	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		104.0	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	18.0	18.0	16.4	17.1
GSW	14.7	12.7	14.7	18.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	47	46	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-5	8	17.5	16.7	0.84	15.3	14.8	0.42
Trevor Ariza	18	18	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.07	0	-2	2	15.4	17.5	-2.08	13.4	15.5	-2.09
Anfernee Hardaway	31	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-3	4	17.7	16.8	0.86	15.1	15.0	0.11
Channing Frye	36	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-3	4	16.7	17.4	-0.69	16.7	14.0	2.73
Nate Robinson	5	4	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	0	-2	15.4	17.2	-1.81	12.2	15.2	-2.94
Malik Rose	14	14	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	1	-4	19.8	16.6	3.17	12.7	15.5	-2.78
Maurice Taylor	32	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	0	-2	16.8	17.3	-0.41	14.5	15.4	-0.82
Stephon Marbury	75	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.44	3	-5	8	17.2	16.5	0.77	15.4	13.4	1.93
Quentin Richardson	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-2	2	17.7	15.4	2.25	15.7	13.2	2.49
Antonio Davis	51	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.46	-3	1	-4	16.5	17.9	-1.48	14.7	15.5	-0.82
Jamal Crawford	74	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	6	-14	16.7	18.8	-2.07	14.7	16.5	-1.82

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	82	82	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.48	7	-5	12	15.0	16.1	-1.18	17.1	17.6	-0.56
Adonal Foyle	67	66	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.52	2	0	2	15.1	15.0	0.14	17.1	17.0	0.09
Troy Murphy	74	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-4	10	15.5	13.1	2.39	17.3	15.9	1.41
Baron Davis	63	64	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.44	4	-2	6	14.6	16.2	-1.66	17.3	16.6	0.70
Derek Fisher	43	44	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	3	-4	16.6	13.6	3.04	16.2	18.0	-1.82
Mike Dunleavy	43	44	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	-5	12	13.6	16.4	-2.76	18.0	16.3	1.65
Chris Taft	22	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.08	0	2	-2	15.0	15.1	-0.14	17.0	17.1	-0.09
Zarko Cabarkapa	10	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	5	-8	13.1	15.3	-2.20	17.6	17.0	0.55
Aaron Miles	2	2	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	5	-8	17.5	15.0	2.50	7.0	17.3	-10.34
Mickael Pietrus	39	39	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.01	-9	11	-20	15.5	14.7	0.77	16.9	17.3	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.46,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 82, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.58,1	92.3%
MIL 88, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.58,1	91.6%
TOR 93, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.15,0.16,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.39,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.53,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.55,0.43,0.42,1	90.9%