inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 76 Excitement4.2 [1024] MVPJamal Crawford (ATL): +6.4%
Chicago Bulls 94 Comeback1.4 [1015] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -13.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Crawford0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.02-0.041070%0.124-0.0600%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.01858%0.132-0.07333%-0.03
Josh Powell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Collins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hilton Armstrong0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Al Horford-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02837%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Damien Wilkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marvin Williams-0.050,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.01-0.020.061548%-0.042-0.05333%-0.03
Josh Smith-0.140,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.06-0.011343%-0.044-0.10978%0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.02580%0.0500.0000%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.02667%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.020.022454%0.103-0.051593%0.05
Omer Asik0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
CJ Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Scalabrine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.000.01550%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.001650%0.034-0.094100%0.02
Joakim Noah0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0240%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.425.515.623.11.829.0122.4
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +3.1%
CHI +11.7%
CHI +26.6%
CHI +6.3%
CHI +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCHINBAATLCHINBA
this game17.316.015.588.4108.0105.7
season16.515.7104.0106.5
opponent15.915.599.2105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.918.120.416.317.3
CHI16.416.115.715.716.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Powell660.00-0.500.50-0.093-212412.217.7-5.5313.316.2-2.85
Jason Collins660.00-0.500.50-0.093-212412.217.7-5.5313.316.2-2.85
Jeff Teague660.00-0.500.50-0.093-212412.217.7-5.5313.316.2-2.85
Hilton Armstrong660.00-0.500.50-0.093-212412.217.7-5.5313.316.2-2.85
Zaza Pachulia3029-0.21-0.290.07-0.04-6-12618.416.71.7216.215.90.33
Damien Wilkins3938-0.24-0.260.02-0.18-2-161417.816.90.8315.816.1-0.31
Jamal Crawford5858-0.25-0.250.000.04-10-8-218.315.42.9016.614.71.90
Kirk Hinrich5254-0.31-0.19-0.130.21-180-1816.718.2-1.4316.115.90.18
Marvin Williams3333-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-4-1017.117.5-0.3615.416.3-0.91
Joe Johnson6466-0.38-0.12-0.260.09-16-2-1417.716.11.5816.215.21.05
Al Horford6971-0.38-0.12-0.260.03-14-4-1017.616.21.4216.513.82.67
Josh Smith6162-0.41-0.09-0.310.24-224-2617.517.00.5015.816.4-0.52

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luol Deng71720.480.020.45-0.1120-22215.916.2-0.2417.416.60.80
Derrick Rose61610.460.040.42-0.2725-73216.215.40.8118.015.82.19
Keith Bogans30300.420.080.34-0.051621415.416.3-0.9017.217.4-0.12
Kurt Thomas63630.410.090.31-0.1519-12016.015.80.2117.217.7-0.52
Joakim Noah54540.300.200.09-0.231801815.716.4-0.6517.117.7-0.69
Taj Gibson35350.200.30-0.100.05513-816.515.70.7818.616.42.22
Ronnie Brewer35340.150.35-0.190.06315-1216.715.51.1218.616.52.11
Omer Asik19180.100.40-0.300.16-220-2215.816.0-0.1917.517.30.24
CJ Watson26250.040.46-0.420.24-725-3215.416.2-0.8115.818.0-2.19
Rasual Butler660.000.50-0.500.09-321-2413.316.2-2.8512.217.7-5.53
Brian Scalabrine320.000.50-0.500.12-422-2614.716.0-1.374.017.6-13.63
Kyle Korver3230-0.050.55-0.60-0.05018-1816.415.70.6616.717.7-0.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 99, LAL 1080.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,195.5%
UTA 76, PHX 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
UTA 70, MIA 800.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.4%