NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	76		Excitement	4.2 [959]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (PHX): +13.0%
Phoenix Suns	98		Comeback	1.5 [768]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -14.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	60%	0.07	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	3	25%	-0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Lewis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
John Starks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	10	45%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.04	-0.06	6	21%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	8	41%	-0.09	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.05
Karl Malone	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	17	39%	-0.07	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.00	17	66%	0.13	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	-0.06	8	55%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	13	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	15	49%	0.03	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.02	-0.06	12	33%	-0.03	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	536.2	1.7	24.0	15.7	25.3	1.8	27.0	631.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +32.4%

PHX +2.5%

UTA -4.5%

PHX +18.7%

PHX +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.6	80.9	102.1	102.3
season	16.1	15.1		102.9	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.1		102.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	15.7	15.0	15.5	15.5
PHX	13.6	15.6	14.3	15.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-24	26	14.3	15.8	-1.50	16.5	14.4	2.09
Quincy Lewis	30	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-21	20	14.4	16.0	-1.60	16.3	14.0	2.31
Scott Padgett	38	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.17	-10	-12	2	16.0	15.2	0.85	15.3	14.4	0.90
Andrei Kirilenko	44	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.21	-12	-10	-2	16.5	14.7	1.75	13.7	15.8	-2.14
Greg Ostertag	20	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-19	16	17.9	14.9	3.09	15.1	14.7	0.38
John Crotty	41	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.00	-5	-17	12	16.6	14.7	1.97	14.4	15.1	-0.75
Karl Malone	59	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-10	-2	14.7	16.9	-2.13	14.8	14.9	-0.10
John Stockton	53	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	-5	-12	14.7	16.6	-1.97	15.1	14.4	0.75
John Amaechi	27	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-8	-6	14.8	15.8	-0.99	15.3	14.6	0.64
John Starks	47	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.22	-23	1	-24	16.7	14.4	2.28	13.1	16.4	-3.33
Donyell Marshall	63	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.11	-21	-1	-20	15.3	16.1	-0.81	14.1	16.2	-2.15

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	67	64	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.27	27	-5	32	13.7	17.3	-3.59	15.8	14.9	0.96
Anfernee Hardaway	68	68	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	4	14	14.6	15.2	-0.58	15.7	15.1	0.61
Shawn Marion	62	61	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	8	6	14.7	15.0	-0.31	15.2	16.1	-0.88
Stephon Marbury	73	73	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.18	19	3	16	14.6	15.3	-0.66	15.2	16.6	-1.35
Bo Outlaw	53	50	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.12	14	8	6	13.8	16.0	-2.21	16.8	14.0	2.77
Jake Tsakalidis	25	26	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	14	-6	16.0	14.4	1.57	14.2	16.0	-1.78
Dan Majerle	50	48	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.14	8	14	-6	14.4	15.2	-0.76	16.0	15.0	1.06
Tom Gugliotta	59	59	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.25	10	12	-2	15.5	13.6	1.92	14.5	17.2	-2.67
John Wallace	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	26	-30	19.7	14.3	5.37	16.4	15.4	1.02
Jake Voskuhl	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	24	-26	18.9	14.5	4.37	15.8	15.5	0.33
Alton Ford	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	24	-26	18.9	14.5	4.37	15.8	15.5	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 72, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
ATL 76, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
PHI 85, PHX 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%