NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	72		Excitement	4.2 [774]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +9.2%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	1.4 [789]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -11.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	-0.00	-0.01	12	63%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Paul George	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	17	54%	0.09	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	11	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	5	21%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Darren Collison	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	12	42%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	9	65%	0.09	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.05	13	61%	0.07	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	11	55%	0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	2	30%	-0.00	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	16	38%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	22%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	26.0	15.8	24.2	2.3	33.7	130.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +37.6%

IND -1.1%

CHI +22.2%

IND -10.0%

CHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	16.0	16.5	15.6	80.9	104.5	102.8
season	15.7	16.0		104.2	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.6		97.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.6	14.7	18.5	15.2	16.0
CHI	17.1	17.3	14.9	16.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	13	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-19	18	15.5	16.1	-0.63	17.5	16.4	1.11
Tyler Hansbrough	47	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-13	6	15.9	16.1	-0.18	16.9	16.2	0.68
A.J. Price	32	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-14	8	14.5	16.8	-2.29	17.2	16.2	0.95
George Hill	46	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	-10	0	16.2	15.8	0.45	16.9	16.2	0.68
Lou Amundson	25	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-14	8	14.0	16.8	-2.84	17.1	16.3	0.74
David West	62	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-12	4	15.8	16.5	-0.69	16.5	16.7	-0.15
Darren Collison	57	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-6	-8	16.8	14.5	2.29	16.2	17.2	-0.95
Paul George	62	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-9	-2	15.2	17.8	-2.55	16.6	16.5	0.04
Roy Hibbert	44	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.14	-19	-1	-18	17.5	14.5	3.06	16.0	17.1	-1.14
Danny Granger	57	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	-2	-16	16.8	14.6	2.20	16.1	17.4	-1.35

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	70	72	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.32	33	-13	46	16.9	15.1	1.87	16.8	12.8	4.00
Ronnie Brewer	73	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	7	6	15.8	20.3	-4.57	16.2	14.7	1.53
Joakim Noah	60	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	0	20	16.9	15.8	1.06	16.3	15.4	0.82
Derrick Rose	53	52	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	6	8	16.4	16.8	-0.42	16.8	14.8	2.04
Taj Gibson	47	48	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.11	13	7	6	16.5	16.6	-0.07	15.8	16.2	-0.36
Carlos Boozer	41	41	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	13	-6	16.6	16.5	0.07	16.2	15.8	0.36
John Lucas III	35	37	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	14	-8	16.8	16.4	0.42	14.8	16.8	-2.04
Omer Asik	27	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	22	-24	16.1	16.7	-0.57	15.4	16.3	-0.83
Richard Hamilton	3	2	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	20	-20	22.0	16.4	5.65	13.0	16.1	-3.07
Brian Scalabrine	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	18	-16	7.0	16.7	-9.66	16.0	16.0	-0.00
Jimmy Butler	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	18	-16	7.0	16.7	-9.66	16.0	16.0	-0.00
Kyle Korver	29	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.12	-8	28	-36	17.3	16.2	1.19	13.6	17.1	-3.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 76, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
PHI 85, PHX 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
ATL 76, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%