NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	70		Excitement	4.7 [865]		MVP	Carlos Arroyo (MIA): +5.5%
Miami Heat	80		Comeback	1.5 [669]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -12.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	10	75%	0.10	6	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
CJ Miles	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	9	11%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	8	41%	-0.03	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	14	45%	-0.01	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	5	53%	0.05	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
James Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.06	8	61%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	6	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	11	27%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	28	47%	0.02	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	10	23%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.0	28.3	17.5	28.7	1.0	31.0	133.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +11.0%

MIA +7.4%

MIA +15.3%

MIA +13.8%

MIA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIA	NBA	UTA	MIA	NBA
this game	15.2	16.5	15.3	76.9	87.9	106.0
season	15.3	16.2		109.5	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.0		102.8	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.5	16.9	15.8	12.6	15.2
MIA	15.8	18.3	13.5	18.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	10.3	15.4	-5.03	14.5	16.5	-2.04
Kyrylo Fesenko	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	10.3	15.4	-5.03	14.5	16.5	-2.04
Wesley Matthews	45	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.23	5	-15	20	15.6	14.8	0.75	17.5	15.4	2.10
Ronnie Price	26	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-12	14	15.7	15.0	0.75	16.9	16.3	0.61
Paul Millsap	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-4	-2	15.4	15.1	0.32	16.0	16.6	-0.63
Andrei Kirilenko	50	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-9	8	15.7	14.6	1.16	17.6	15.1	2.56
Mehmet Okur	54	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-6	2	16.4	13.4	2.97	16.7	16.1	0.59
Deron Williams	65	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	2	-14	15.0	15.7	-0.75	16.3	16.9	-0.61
CJ Miles	54	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	0	-10	15.0	15.5	-0.58	15.4	18.1	-2.70
Ronnie Brewer	62	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	5	-20	14.4	16.8	-2.39	16.5	16.4	0.03
Carlos Boozer	67	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	7	-24	14.8	16.2	-1.43	16.0	17.8	-1.81

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	70	72	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.01	18	-8	26	15.9	18.1	-2.20	15.1	15.7	-0.68
Quentin Richardson	59	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-7	24	15.8	17.6	-1.72	15.5	14.5	0.98
Carlos Arroyo	39	39	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-3	16	14.4	18.0	-3.53	15.7	14.8	0.87
Michael Beasley	55	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-4	18	15.6	17.8	-2.20	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Joel Anthony	67	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	8	-6	16.9	15.2	1.74	14.7	16.4	-1.72
Udonis Haslem	54	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	5	0	16.6	16.2	0.49	15.6	14.5	1.11
Mario Chalmers	52	52	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	13	-16	18.0	14.4	3.53	14.8	15.7	-0.87
Dorell Wright	32	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.22	-7	17	-24	17.6	15.8	1.72	14.5	15.5	-0.98
Daequan Cook	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	15.3	16.5	-1.16	6.0	15.4	-9.40
James Jones	18	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	14	-18	18.6	15.9	2.69	16.9	14.8	2.07
Jermaine O'Neal	6	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	11	-12	17.5	16.4	1.12	17.6	15.1	2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 102, BKN 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1	95.6%
SAC 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ATL 76, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%