NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	5.0 [797]		MVP	Elden Campbell (LAL): +8.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	1.4 [1185]		LVP	Brian Grant (SAC): -10.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	16	61%	0.09	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Michael Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Salvadori	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lionel Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Grayer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Billy Owens	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	17	41%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	4	60%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.03	-0.08	13	40%	-0.01	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.02	0.07	17	51%	-0.06	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	9	81%	0.12	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	2	133%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	69%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	31	55%	0.11	3	-0.08	14	86%	0.03
Byron Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	36%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	26.5	15.7	30.5	2.6	24.2	127.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +56.2%

LAL +6.8%

SAC -10.2%

SAC -3.7%

LAL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.7	15.6	102.1	112.5	104.4
season	15.4	15.3		102.4	105.8
opponent	15.7	15.4		101.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.1	16.3	14.7	12.8	15.1
LAL	15.5	15.0	12.4	16.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Grayer	16	16	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-12	15	13.9	15.4	-1.43	17.5	14.1	3.37
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	37	38	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-15	21	14.8	15.3	-0.52	15.2	14.3	0.91
Lionel Simmons	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	10.1	15.5	-5.38	19.8	14.3	5.49
Kevin Salvadori	11	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-6	3	19.0	14.6	4.36	11.2	15.1	-3.89
Michael Smith	42	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-8	7	16.1	14.4	1.70	14.0	15.2	-1.11
Tyus Edney	20	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-5	1	16.1	14.9	1.28	12.1	15.3	-3.29
Corliss Williamson	52	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-1	-7	15.6	14.6	0.95	14.3	15.2	-0.91
Billy Owens	35	35	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-7	5	15.6	14.9	0.73	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Bobby Hurley	45	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	1	-11	15.5	14.8	0.66	14.4	14.9	-0.47
Brian Grant	77	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-4	-1	14.4	17.8	-3.42	15.1	12.8	2.28
Olden Polynice	64	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.15	-9	0	-9	14.7	16.0	-1.31	15.1	13.8	1.28
Mitch Richmond	79	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	6	-21	15.0	15.7	-0.65	14.6	14.9	-0.32

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	70	68	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.08	13	-4	17	14.5	15.1	-0.53	14.9	15.7	-0.79
Shaquille O'Neal	68	68	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	0	9	14.7	14.7	-0.09	14.8	15.9	-1.04
Elden Campbell	53	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-3	15	13.8	15.7	-1.87	15.5	14.7	0.87
Eddie Jones	59	58	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-4	17	14.9	14.4	0.50	15.9	13.9	2.03
Robert Horry	49	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-1	11	15.6	13.7	1.85	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Sean Rooks	27	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	5	-1	13.6	15.1	-1.47	16.1	14.7	1.43
Byron Scott	25	27	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	5	-1	13.6	15.1	-1.52	14.4	15.4	-1.01
Jerome Kersey	44	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	8	-7	13.6	15.6	-2.02	15.3	15.0	0.28
Kobe Bryant	31	33	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.22	-6	15	-21	15.1	14.5	0.60	14.4	15.5	-1.12
Corie Blount	8	7	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	9	-9	17.9	14.4	3.48	17.9	14.9	2.93
Derek Fisher	16	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.16	-7	16	-23	17.5	14.1	3.37	13.7	15.5	-1.80
Travis Knight	30	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.16	-8	17	-25	15.4	14.3	1.08	14.7	15.3	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 112, MIN 122	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SAC 93, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	95.6%
MIN 75, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%