NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	75		Excitement	4.6 [881]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +27.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	1.4 [584]		LVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): -15.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.01	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	16	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Loren Woods	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	18	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	11	36%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.21	0.02	-0.04	14	83%	0.27	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	150%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.13	-0.00	0.13	7	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	3	75%	0.05	6	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	13	36%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	53%	0.02	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	11	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	35%	-0.04	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	6	50%	-0.01	6	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	26.1	16.7	28.1	1.5	25.2	122.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.2%

LAC +3.4%

LAC +8.5%

MIN -10.2%

LAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	14.3	17.8	15.6	84.3	104.4	102.3
season	15.0	15.9		106.7	103.6
opponent	15.4	16.1		104.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.3	14.3	12.9	14.0	14.3
LAC	18.0	18.5	15.3	20.2	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	28	30	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-23	27	16.6	13.2	3.40	18.3	17.6	0.63
Loren Woods	9	10	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-21	23	14.1	14.3	-0.23	17.4	17.9	-0.50
Anthony Peeler	43	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-16	13	13.2	15.4	-2.23	19.2	16.5	2.71
Felipe Lopez	22	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-21	23	14.0	14.4	-0.48	19.2	17.4	1.79
Joe Smith	36	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-17	15	14.0	14.5	-0.48	18.4	17.4	1.04
Gary Trent	24	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-14	9	15.0	14.1	0.94	18.3	17.7	0.60
Sam Mitchell	21	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-9	-1	14.6	14.2	0.34	15.0	18.7	-3.66
Wally Szczerbiak	66	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.15	-20	1	-21	14.7	13.3	1.42	17.6	18.6	-1.05
Kevin Garnett	76	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.10	-20	1	-21	14.4	14.1	0.28	17.8	18.0	-0.18
Terrell Brandon	61	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.14	-23	4	-27	13.2	16.6	-3.40	17.6	18.3	-0.63
Rasho Nesterovic	59	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.00	-20	1	-21	14.7	13.6	1.03	17.1	19.2	-2.08

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	57	56	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.09	18	1	17	16.8	19.7	-2.97	13.8	15.1	-1.28
Jeff McInnis	73	73	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.15	25	-6	31	17.3	20.2	-2.95	14.0	15.7	-1.75
Michael Olowokandi	76	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.12	22	-3	25	17.8	17.9	-0.10	13.8	17.5	-3.78
Lamar Odom	57	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.24	25	-6	31	17.7	18.2	-0.48	14.3	14.3	-0.01
Elton Brand	68	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	3	13	17.5	18.8	-1.23	14.5	13.8	0.72
Darius Miles	44	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	20	-21	18.2	17.5	0.70	15.3	13.3	2.00
Earl Boykins	8	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	21	-23	21.7	17.5	4.29	13.7	14.4	-0.62
Corey Maggette	34	32	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	28	-37	18.6	17.4	1.20	14.7	14.1	0.63
Quentin Richardson	33	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.14	1	18	-17	19.7	16.8	2.97	15.1	13.8	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DEN 98, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	95.4%
BKN 73, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%