NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	112		Excitement	3.9 [984]		MVP	Tom Gugliotta (MIN): +13.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	122		Comeback	1.4 [1085]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -9.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sherman Douglas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	6	87%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.01	0.07	16	72%	0.09	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Johnny Newman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	71%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
David Wood	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Earl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	25%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Joe Wolf	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.00	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	2	91%	0.03	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Vin Baker	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	12	55%	0.03	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Andrew Lang	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	14	42%	-0.06	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	16	61%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	10	78%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.01	-0.06	8	85%	0.13	4	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	8	74%	0.09	3	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	16	53%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug West	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	62%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Heal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.07	8	68%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	3	50%	0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.6	23.6	14.7	30.2	2.5	31.3	126.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +29.9%

MIL -0.2%

MIN +5.9%

MIN +17.1%

MIL -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MIN	NBA	MIL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.2	15.5	15.6	115.5	125.8	104.4
season	16.0	15.5		103.9	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.3	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.2	13.7	16.1	12.4	14.2
MIN	15.4	18.2	16.6	12.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Perry	47	46	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.25	11	-21	32	12.7	15.7	-3.04	14.4	16.4	-1.96
David Wood	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-15	20	10.6	14.9	-4.29	9.6	16.6	-7.07
Acie Earl	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-15	20	10.6	14.9	-4.29	9.6	16.6	-7.07
Johnny Newman	47	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-13	16	14.6	13.9	0.76	16.8	14.3	2.51
Joe Wolf	36	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.24	7	-17	24	11.8	15.7	-3.89	13.6	16.5	-2.90
Armen Gilliam	47	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-8	6	14.6	13.9	0.72	17.3	13.8	3.58
Andrew Lang	35	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	3	-16	15.3	13.6	1.66	15.7	15.3	0.35
Ray Allen	82	83	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-6	2	13.7	17.0	-3.28	15.6	14.7	0.88
Glenn Robinson	56	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.05	-20	10	-30	15.5	12.5	3.01	16.3	14.3	1.99
Vin Baker	55	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.05	-21	11	-32	15.9	12.0	3.97	16.2	14.5	1.74
Sherman Douglas	50	51	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.04	-21	11	-32	15.7	12.7	3.04	16.4	14.4	1.96

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	78	78	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-4	18	15.1	17.2	-2.11	14.4	13.4	1.00
Tom Gugliotta	64	64	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.14	25	-15	40	15.8	14.8	1.07	15.9	11.1	4.80
Dean Garrett	53	54	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.10	23	-13	36	16.1	14.7	1.47	15.4	12.7	2.75
Doug West	45	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	1	8	17.3	13.9	3.36	15.7	13.0	2.62
Kevin Garnett	67	67	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	4	2	16.1	14.0	2.07	14.8	12.9	1.92
Sam Mitchell	52	53	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	3	4	14.7	16.3	-1.54	13.6	15.0	-1.33
James Robinson	43	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	5	0	17.0	14.3	2.72	14.5	14.0	0.46
Reggie Jordan	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	17	-24	7.7	16.2	-8.41	7.9	14.8	-6.92
Stojko Vrankovic	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	16	-22	8.8	15.8	-7.03	6.2	14.7	-8.46
Shane Heal	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	16	-22	8.5	15.9	-7.42	6.7	14.7	-8.06
Terry Porter	29	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	13	-16	14.8	15.8	-1.01	13.4	14.6	-1.22
Cherokee Parks	35	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.38	-17	27	-44	14.9	15.8	-0.95	11.1	15.9	-4.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DEN 98, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	95.4%
NJN 76, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%