NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	7.0 [423]		MVP	Jodie Meeks (PHI): +17.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	1.4 [585]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -14.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	14	60%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	3	60%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	0.03	13	47%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	11	23%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.09	0.02	15	44%	-0.11	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.01	-0.11	0.02	7	61%	0.03	3	-0.17	4	75%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	7	67%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	10	46%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	8	42%	0.07	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	14	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	40%	0.01	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	11	54%	0.03	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	13	32%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	29.5	15.5	23.9	1.8	31.2	126.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +30.2%

PHI +7.3%

PHI +4.7%

PHI +5.2%

PHI +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	16.0	15.5	93.5	95.7	105.7
season	15.7	15.5		104.8	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.6	16.5	15.6	14.2	15.2
PHI	14.8	17.8	15.0	16.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	45	46	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.15	9	-12	21	14.9	15.4	-0.51	16.6	15.3	1.33
Sasha Pavlovic	38	36	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-4	5	14.8	15.5	-0.70	16.3	15.8	0.52
Avery Bradley	4	3	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-1	-1	15.7	15.1	0.60	10.3	16.1	-5.81
Carlos Arroyo	25	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-1	-1	16.0	14.9	1.08	16.9	15.6	1.32
Troy Murphy	7	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	2	-7	18.7	14.9	3.83	18.3	15.8	2.52
Rajon Rondo	67	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-1	-1	14.9	16.0	-1.08	15.7	16.6	-0.90
Paul Pierce	69	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-3	3	14.7	16.7	-2.09	15.8	16.4	-0.58
Nenad Krstic	65	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	3	-9	15.3	15.0	0.30	15.5	17.1	-1.55
Kevin Garnett	66	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-1	-1	15.0	15.5	-0.51	15.7	16.6	-0.95
Ray Allen	74	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.37	-6	3	-9	15.7	12.9	2.77	16.1	15.5	0.52

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	70	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.46	6	-3	9	15.7	16.7	-0.92	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Jrue Holiday	74	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	-2	7	15.7	16.9	-1.24	14.9	16.2	-1.23
Elton Brand	65	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-1	5	15.5	17.0	-1.44	15.2	15.1	0.04
Spencer Hawes	62	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-1	5	16.0	15.9	0.13	15.1	15.3	-0.13
Jodie Meeks	70	70	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	-2	7	15.6	17.0	-1.33	15.4	14.5	0.95
Lou Williams	37	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	5	-7	17.1	15.2	1.91	15.6	14.9	0.73
Evan Turner	28	26	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	4	-5	16.5	15.7	0.78	14.7	15.4	-0.67
Marreese Speights	20	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.08	1	2	-1	17.3	15.6	1.71	16.6	14.8	1.84
Thaddeus Young	39	38	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	10	-17	15.9	16.0	-0.06	15.0	15.3	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.62,0.56,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.6,0.76,0.85,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.79,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.86,0.79,0.94,1,1	92.7%
PHI 84, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,1	92.4%
UTA 102, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.98,1	92.1%