NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	7.6 [302]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +26.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	1.4 [886]		LVP	Trey Burke (UTA): -17.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.26	0.17	0.09	-0.00	16	69%	0.30	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
Enes Kanter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	12	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Elijah Millsap	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	18	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Joe Ingles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Dante Exum	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.04	-0.10	0.04	17	49%	-0.07	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.19	0.03	17	61%	0.29	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.13	-0.00	10	78%	0.35	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	70%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	16	54%	0.10	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	52%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	28.9	14.8	27.5	2.3	32.7	130.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +57.0%

POR +4.2%

UTA -3.8%

UTA -7.3%

UTA -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.1	110.9	112.0	104.2
season	16.2	15.3		103.8	106.5
opponent	15.0	15.3		102.7	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.6	15.0	14.2	15.8	16.0
POR	14.7	19.3	12.0	16.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elijah Millsap	34	31	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.06	0	-1	1	16.3	15.9	0.41	15.9	14.9	1.00
Trevor Booker	11	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-1	1	18.2	15.7	2.44	15.9	15.2	0.76
Trey Burke	65	66	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.63	19	-20	39	15.0	18.5	-3.47	15.7	14.1	1.61
Enes Kanter	45	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	2	-5	16.2	15.9	0.37	15.0	15.5	-0.56
Dante Exum	37	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	8	-17	17.6	15.0	2.57	14.4	15.9	-1.40
Derrick Favors	65	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-1	1	16.2	15.6	0.62	15.3	15.3	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	63	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	1	-3	15.3	17.6	-2.22	15.6	14.6	1.00
Gordon Hayward	70	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	2	-5	15.9	16.3	-0.38	14.7	17.2	-2.53
Joe Ingles	70	70	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.44	-7	6	-13	16.1	15.7	0.40	15.3	15.0	0.30

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	68	68	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.48	11	-10	21	14.8	16.5	-1.66	16.2	15.6	0.55
Damian Lillard	71	72	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-12	25	14.9	16.5	-1.56	16.1	15.7	0.36
Robin Lopez	44	46	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.33	12	-11	23	15.5	15.0	0.52	17.3	14.8	2.46
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	71	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.49	5	-4	9	14.6	17.7	-3.11	16.0	16.3	-0.33
Wesley Matthews	66	66	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.46	-13	14	-27	15.5	14.7	0.86	16.1	15.8	0.37
Steve Blake	45	44	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.20	-5	6	-11	14.6	16.0	-1.40	15.1	16.9	-1.80
Meyers Leonard	22	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	3	-5	17.5	14.6	2.99	16.7	15.8	0.88
Allen Crabbe	11	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	4	-7	17.7	14.9	2.79	16.6	16.0	0.64
CJ McCollum	16	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.06	-1	2	-3	17.1	14.9	2.17	16.4	16.0	0.39
Chris Kaman	44	43	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	13	-25	15.3	15.3	0.00	14.7	17.2	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, SAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.59,0.6,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	93.3%
DET 83, VAN 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,1	93.0%
SEA 78, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.52,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%