NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	78		Excitement	6.0 [583]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +7.5%
Indiana Pacers	92		Comeback	1.3 [451]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (SEA): -14.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Cummings	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Graham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	8	45%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Gary Payton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	15	53%	0.07	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.03
Hersey Hawkins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	10	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Nate McMillan	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	12	53%	0.00	4	-0.15	12	75%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.03	6	65%	0.07	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	13	61%	0.15	2	-0.08	10	90%	0.03
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.01	9	70%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
LaSalle Thompson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Scott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	59%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	13	50%	0.02	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	7	56%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.8	30.3	16.5	25.4	2.3	31.3	135.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +29.0%

IND +12.2%

IND +8.1%

SEA -1.8%

IND +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	IND	NBA	SEA	IND	NBA
this game	16.6	16.7	15.6	90.7	105.7	104.4
season	14.9	15.3		108.9	103.6
opponent	16.3	16.2		101.9	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.3	18.7	15.8	17.0	16.6
IND	16.0	15.6	15.5	19.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	39	43	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-14	14	15.2	17.8	-2.58	16.6	16.7	-0.05
Greg Graham	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	15.0	16.7	-1.68	21.5	16.5	4.96
Eric Snow	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	15.0	16.7	-1.68	21.5	16.5	4.96
Craig Ehlo	25	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-16	18	17.4	16.3	1.13	17.9	16.1	1.74
Nate McMillan	38	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-13	12	14.9	18.0	-3.13	17.7	15.7	2.03
Jim McIlvaine	31	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-8	2	16.8	16.5	0.26	15.8	17.1	-1.34
Terry Cummings	31	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-7	0	17.6	16.1	1.57	17.1	16.4	0.73
Gary Payton	73	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-2	-10	16.1	19.9	-3.87	16.3	18.5	-2.12
Hersey Hawkins	61	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	2	-18	16.3	17.4	-1.13	16.1	17.9	-1.74
Shawn Kemp	69	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	-1	-12	17.0	15.3	1.68	16.5	17.5	-1.01
Detlef Schrempf	59	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.01	-19	5	-24	18.5	12.5	6.01	16.4	17.1	-0.67

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duane Ferrell	54	55	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.07	20	-6	26	16.9	16.3	0.57	17.8	14.6	3.22
Reggie Miller	67	67	0.52	-0.01	0.53	-0.07	20	-6	26	16.4	17.6	-1.29	16.4	17.4	-0.94
Antonio Davis	43	43	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	2	10	17.8	15.6	2.20	16.7	16.6	0.16
Mark Jackson	62	62	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	-2	18	16.7	16.6	0.13	17.0	15.8	1.18
Dale Davis	46	47	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.11	17	-3	20	17.2	16.0	1.24	17.3	15.9	1.40
Erick Dampier	27	25	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	9	-4	15.9	17.0	-1.11	15.0	17.3	-2.26
Travis Best	25	24	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	16	-18	16.6	16.7	-0.13	15.8	17.0	-1.18
Brent Scott	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	21.5	16.5	4.96	14.0	16.7	-2.67
LaSalle Thompson	5	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	14	-14	13.0	16.9	-3.88	20.5	16.5	4.05
Fred Hoiberg	12	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	19	-24	17.5	16.5	0.98	17.4	16.5	0.90
Rik Smits	51	52	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	19	-24	15.8	17.9	-2.15	16.5	16.8	-0.30
Jalen Rose	41	41	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	21	-28	16.6	16.7	-0.09	15.2	17.9	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.52,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.89,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.87,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	93.3%
SAS 99, SAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.59,0.6,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	93.0%
PHI 103, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.8,0.93,0.94,1,1	92.8%