NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	115		Excitement	2.7 [1229]		MVP	Nick Young (WAS): +15.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Comeback	1.0 [688]		LVP	Mo Williams (CLE): -14.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.23	0.00	0.07	21	70%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	13	65%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	74%	0.11	4	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Howard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	11	70%	0.05	2	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
John Wall	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	19	43%	0.03	2	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Cartier Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	25%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	15	60%	0.04	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	55%	0.00	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	12	42%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	18	37%	-0.06	1	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	0.00	0.02	9	48%	-0.04	7	-0.10	3	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	1.8	30.2	14.7	23.8	1.5	26.6	127.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +41.9%

WAS +0.6%

CLE -8.2%

WAS +14.2%

WAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.5	122.3	107.5	105.7
season	15.1	15.1		100.9	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.2		110.2	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.1	12.7	16.7	19.2	15.8
CLE	14.2	16.6	14.7	14.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	72	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.11	21	-6	27	15.5	17.0	-1.53	14.7	15.9	-1.21
JaVale McGee	62	62	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.15	21	-6	27	14.9	17.6	-2.67	15.4	14.1	1.31
Josh Howard	50	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	-1	17	14.6	17.2	-2.63	14.4	15.6	-1.14
Nick Young	63	62	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	10	-5	16.5	14.5	1.96	14.9	15.2	-0.29
Andray Blatche	51	52	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.00	9	6	3	15.5	16.2	-0.74	15.2	14.7	0.47
Kirk Hinrich	57	55	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	11	-7	16.0	15.5	0.48	15.3	14.5	0.84
Trevor Booker	33	32	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	13	-11	17.4	15.0	2.36	15.1	14.9	0.14
Cartier Martin	40	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	16	-17	16.7	15.2	1.56	15.8	14.3	1.46
Yi Jianlian	30	28	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.14	10	5	5	15.2	16.1	-0.88	14.2	15.3	-1.08
Kevin Seraphin	12	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.29	-12	27	-39	19.2	15.3	3.92	13.3	15.2	-1.88

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manny Harris	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	9.4	15.3	-5.88	21.6	15.5	6.09
Samardo Samuels	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-21	27	13.9	15.2	-1.22	20.3	15.0	5.24
Daniel Gibson	17	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.09	2	-17	19	13.9	15.2	-1.26	17.0	15.6	1.43
Jamario Moon	54	53	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.29	8	-23	31	14.3	15.8	-1.51	16.7	14.7	1.99
Ryan Hollins	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.26	6	-21	27	16.0	14.4	1.61	17.2	15.0	2.14
Ramon Sessions	46	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-16	17	15.7	14.2	1.53	17.4	14.3	3.11
Antawn Jamison	65	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	1	-17	14.1	17.0	-2.96	15.5	16.6	-1.03
Christian Eyenga	40	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.16	-19	4	-23	13.9	15.8	-1.87	15.2	16.3	-1.11
Anthony Parker	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	6	-27	15.7	13.4	2.31	14.9	17.8	-2.94
Mo Williams	55	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.09	-18	3	-21	15.6	14.1	1.50	14.1	18.2	-4.10
JJ Hickson	70	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.23	-26	11	-37	15.6	13.0	2.56	14.7	19.1	-4.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
BOS 105, NJN 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
PHI 108, MIL 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%