NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	109		Excitement	1.8 [1294]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +16.1%
Indiana Pacers	94		Comeback	1.0 [1032]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -5.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.16	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.01	-0.02	17	61%	0.16	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.25	0.00	0.18	18	76%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	8	81%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	9	57%	0.07	3	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Luke Walton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Ebanks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	41%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	5	73%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	0.00	0.09	12	61%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	13	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	13	46%	-0.01	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	27.4	16.4	26.2	2.5	26.6	126.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.3%

LAL +3.5%

LAL +10.4%

LAL +0.9%

LAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	17.4	14.6	15.5	121.1	104.4	105.7
season	15.9	14.7		108.8	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.5	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.5	16.3	17.3	21.0	17.4
IND	13.8	18.0	13.4	13.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	52	50	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.15	20	-5	25	18.2	16.4	1.75	13.9	15.4	-1.59
Kobe Bryant	66	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-1	17	17.9	16.2	1.73	13.8	16.5	-2.66
Pau Gasol	70	69	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	3	9	17.5	17.2	0.24	13.6	17.6	-3.98
Lamar Odom	66	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	-3	21	17.0	18.7	-1.74	15.0	13.5	1.45
Derek Fisher	39	38	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.10	13	2	11	17.0	17.8	-0.81	13.1	15.6	-2.48
Steve Blake	51	52	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.16	2	13	-11	17.8	17.0	0.81	15.6	13.1	2.48
Luke Walton	13	16	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	15	-15	19.9	17.0	2.91	14.2	14.6	-0.46
Andrew Bynum	31	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	15	-15	17.3	17.5	-0.27	16.0	13.8	2.14
Shannon Brown	24	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	16	-17	16.2	17.9	-1.73	16.5	13.8	2.66
Matt Barnes	34	36	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	19	-23	15.6	18.6	-2.97	15.9	13.7	2.20
Devin Ebanks	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	23.5	17.2	6.35	11.5	14.7	-3.21

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	6	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-15	15	19.5	14.2	5.29	16.4	17.5	-1.09
Tyler Hansbrough	21	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-21	27	13.2	15.0	-1.73	20.7	16.5	4.19
Solomon Jones	25	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-20	25	16.1	14.0	2.10	15.3	18.3	-2.98
Mike Dunleavy	53	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.39	11	-26	37	13.8	15.6	-1.79	18.2	16.4	1.75
Jeff Foster	16	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-14	13	13.7	14.7	-0.99	15.3	17.9	-2.64
T.J. Ford	28	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-12	9	15.1	14.3	0.84	16.6	17.8	-1.25
James Posey	35	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-9	3	15.5	14.0	1.46	17.3	17.5	-0.22
Josh McRoberts	27	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.21	-19	4	-23	15.1	14.3	0.72	15.7	18.2	-2.52
Roy Hibbert	56	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	0	-15	13.8	15.8	-1.97	18.9	15.0	3.86
Darren Collison	62	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-3	-9	14.3	15.1	-0.84	17.8	16.6	1.25
Danny Granger	60	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.17	-21	6	-27	14.3	15.1	-0.80	17.9	16.6	1.30
Brandon Rush	61	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.11	-20	5	-25	15.0	13.7	1.29	16.5	19.3	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 100, LAC 79	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
PHI 132, PHX 127	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	97.5%
DAL 126, GSW 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%