NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	132		Excitement	2.8 [1215]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +14.4%
Phoenix Suns	127		Comeback	1.1 [1006]		LVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): -5.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.02	0.04	23	65%	0.17	4	-0.03	19	89%	0.02
JJ Redick	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.18	0.00	0.08	12	79%	0.11	2	-0.01	10	80%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	9	56%	0.08	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	11	64%	0.08	4	-0.05	23	65%	-0.01
Demetrius Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	3	133%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonah Bolden	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	44%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Landry Shamet	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.13	0.01	0.11	22	61%	0.05	3	-0.03	17	88%	0.01
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	12	69%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	0.00	0.10	5	81%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	14	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	5	90%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.01	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	8	12%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	1.7	33.4	14.8	26.2	2.4	39.4	148.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +41.2%

PHI +7.3%

PHI +3.6%

PHX -2.6%

PHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	PHX	NBA	PHI	PHX	NBA
this game	12.8	13.2	14.3	117.9	116.5	109.3
season	14.0	14.4		110.9	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.1		114.0	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.0	12.3	13.8	13.3	12.8
PHX	13.8	14.9	12.3	12.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	89	83	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-6	17	12.8	13.1	-0.30	12.8	14.5	-1.73
Joel Embiid	87	82	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.31	6	-1	7	12.7	13.2	-0.50	13.3	12.9	0.39
Furkan Korkmaz	66	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-15	35	12.4	13.5	-1.03	14.1	11.7	2.40
Ben Simmons	91	90	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	-5	15	13.0	12.2	0.81	13.7	10.8	2.88
T.J. McConnell	68	65	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.44	-7	12	-19	13.1	12.5	0.54	12.3	14.6	-2.37
Mike Muscala	55	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	1	3	12.1	13.6	-1.56	13.1	13.4	-0.33
Jonah Bolden	35	35	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	6	-7	13.5	12.5	1.01	13.4	13.1	0.26
Landry Shamet	39	36	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	7	-9	13.4	12.5	0.90	12.2	13.7	-1.45
Demetrius Jackson	30	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.44	-16	21	-37	13.2	12.7	0.53	13.9	13.0	0.91

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Daniels	35	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.71	24	-29	53	11.3	14.1	-2.77	13.9	12.3	1.60
Richaun Holmes	32	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.26	6	-11	17	13.2	13.2	0.04	13.5	12.6	0.89
Elie Okobo	40	44	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.45	10	-15	25	11.6	14.1	-2.52	13.3	12.6	0.74
Jamal Crawford	13	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	5	-15	15.2	13.0	2.20	11.2	13.0	-1.88
Josh Jackson	60	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.52	11	-16	27	12.2	14.4	-2.20	13.4	12.2	1.18
Kelly Oubre Jr.	51	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-3	1	12.9	13.5	-0.52	13.4	12.4	0.97
T.J. Warren	44	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	9	-23	14.6	12.3	2.26	13.0	12.7	0.25
De'Anthony Melton	48	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.30	-20	15	-35	14.9	11.9	2.99	13.1	12.6	0.52
Mikal Bridges	61	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	0	-5	13.7	12.6	1.06	12.2	13.7	-1.50
Devin Booker	84	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.04	-14	9	-23	13.3	12.8	0.49	11.9	15.6	-3.73
Deandre Ayton	77	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	6	-17	13.2	13.2	-0.04	12.6	13.5	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
DEN 110, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
CLE 135, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%