NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Excitement	1.8 [1248]		MVP	Cedric Henderson (CLE): +8.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	79		Comeback	1.0 [1108]		LVP	Ike Austin (LAC): -7.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Henderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	77%	0.09	4	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	19	59%	0.05	5	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	13	61%	0.04	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	7	45%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	13	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	54%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	11	54%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	13	46%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	17	45%	-0.04	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.22	0.00	-0.15	12	25%	-0.04	5	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	27.4	15.7	27.2	1.7	23.3	123.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +38.5%

CLE +0.9%

CLE +6.8%

CLE +2.1%

CLE +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAC	NBA	CLE	LAC	NBA
this game	16.4	15.5	15.6	111.1	86.8	102.5
season	15.4	15.5		99.4	101.0
opponent	15.1	16.0		109.2	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.9	16.5	15.6	17.5	16.4
LAC	16.8	16.3	14.4	14.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	60	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.40	30	-9	39	16.5	16.1	0.45	16.5	13.3	3.11
Wesley Person	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.41	29	-8	37	16.7	15.0	1.69	16.0	13.8	2.15
Cedric Henderson	72	74	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	8	5	16.4	16.3	0.11	14.9	18.1	-3.19
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	63	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	8	5	16.8	15.3	1.53	14.9	16.9	-1.96
Derek Anderson	41	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	21	-21	16.1	16.6	-0.40	15.3	15.5	-0.20
Brevin Knight	36	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.31	18	3	15	16.2	16.5	-0.29	16.8	14.4	2.48
Bob Sura	38	36	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	14	-7	16.7	16.1	0.64	15.8	15.2	0.57
Vitaly Potapenko	39	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	19	-17	15.3	17.2	-1.82	15.8	15.2	0.58
Scott Brooks	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	27	-33	14.9	16.5	-1.64	10.1	16.0	-5.85
Carl Thomas	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	11.6	16.6	-5.05	13.2	15.6	-2.39
Shawnelle Scott	17	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.08	-3	24	-27	17.1	16.2	0.93	12.9	16.0	-3.11

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Robinson	31	33	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.33	12	-33	45	13.5	16.5	-3.00	18.0	15.4	2.53
Keith Closs	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-25	29	15.6	15.4	0.20	19.0	15.5	3.55
Charles Smith	6	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-17	13	16.8	15.4	1.47	16.5	16.4	0.14
Stojko Vrankovic	10	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	-13	5	17.0	15.3	1.73	14.9	16.5	-1.65
Pooh Richardson	58	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.14	-1	-20	19	15.1	16.1	-0.99	16.7	15.6	1.10
Lorenzen Wright	44	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-12	3	14.4	16.5	-2.08	16.2	16.5	-0.36
Maurice Taylor	53	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-5	-11	16.5	14.0	2.51	16.5	16.1	0.41
Darrick Martin	33	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.25	-20	-1	-19	16.1	15.1	0.99	15.6	16.7	-1.10
Ike Austin	60	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	-4	-13	15.1	16.1	-0.91	15.6	17.7	-2.15
Rodney Rogers	71	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.06	-17	-4	-13	15.1	16.8	-1.78	15.8	18.4	-2.61
Eric Piatkowski	68	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.39	-29	8	-37	16.5	12.3	4.23	16.2	16.9	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
SAS 120, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
DAL 126, GSW 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%