NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	1.8 [1291]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +14.2%
New Jersey Nets	85		Comeback	1.0 [1137]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -5.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	0.01	0.05	12	83%	0.16	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	8	58%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Leon Powe	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	4	86%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	8	76%	0.07	3	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	10	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	6	57%	0.05	4	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick O'Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	60%	0.00	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	10	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	4	37%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	17	72%	0.06	3	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	58%	0.05	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	11	62%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	12	35%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	44%	-0.02	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	47%	0.00	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.6	32.5	15.6	27.7	2.0	29.2	134.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.8%

BOS +5.8%

BOS +1.9%

BOS +3.4%

BOS +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	15.1	16.0	15.5	114.1	91.4	106.4
season	15.8	16.0		108.3	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.6		108.9	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	15.4	15.9	14.4	15.1
NJN	16.5	15.2	15.4	16.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	67	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.15	23	-3	26	15.2	14.8	0.38	15.9	16.4	-0.48
Brian Scalabrine	60	58	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.16	22	-2	24	14.7	15.9	-1.21	15.4	17.0	-1.54
Ray Allen	60	60	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.17	22	-2	24	14.7	15.9	-1.21	15.5	16.9	-1.35
Rajon Rondo	54	55	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.23	24	-4	28	15.0	15.3	-0.24	15.4	16.9	-1.45
Kevin Garnett	55	56	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.18	21	-1	22	14.9	15.5	-0.57	15.3	17.1	-1.87
Leon Powe	34	36	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	18	-16	16.0	14.6	1.44	16.9	15.4	1.48
Eddie House	39	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	24	-28	15.5	14.8	0.73	16.9	15.4	1.45
Gabe Pruitt	33	34	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	22	-24	16.0	14.6	1.42	16.9	15.5	1.47
Glen Davis	24	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	21	-22	15.8	14.9	0.91	18.4	15.1	3.21
Patrick O'Bryant	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	24	-28	14.3	15.2	-0.96	14.5	16.2	-1.66
Henry Walker	23	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.06	-3	23	-26	14.1	15.4	-1.32	16.2	15.9	0.32

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Douglas-Roberts	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-22	24	17.2	15.6	1.61	14.0	15.5	-1.54
Eduardo Najera	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.28	8	-28	36	15.8	16.1	-0.34	17.8	13.6	4.21
Jarvis Hayes	58	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.42	11	-31	42	16.1	15.9	0.15	15.6	14.3	1.30
Josh Boone	7	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-16	12	17.3	15.9	1.38	21.3	14.6	6.67
Keyon Dooling	62	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-22	24	15.9	16.3	-0.37	16.3	13.2	3.08
Trenton Hassell	31	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-13	6	17.2	15.4	1.77	15.0	15.2	-0.18
Bobby Simmons	44	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-15	10	15.8	16.2	-0.32	15.3	14.9	0.46
Brook Lopez	81	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.14	-18	-2	-16	15.8	17.6	-1.81	14.9	16.2	-1.29
Vince Carter	29	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.45	-29	9	-38	15.2	16.4	-1.12	13.6	15.8	-2.19
Devin Harris	36	36	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.43	-30	10	-40	15.4	16.4	-0.97	13.5	16.1	-2.62
Ryan Anderson	59	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.42	-30	10	-40	16.1	15.8	0.34	13.6	17.9	-4.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 115, CLE 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
LAC 111, NYK 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
DEN 124, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%