NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	111		Excitement	1.9 [1294]		MVP	Austin Rivers (LAC): +9.4%
New York Knicks	80		Comeback	1.0 [1306]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -6.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Rivers	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.20	0.00	0.11	10	95%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	7	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	11	74%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	6	58%	0.04	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	4	37%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	52%	0.00	2	-0.02	11	73%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.03	8	69%	-0.01	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Ledo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.15	0.00	-0.18	14	43%	0.08	7	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	4	80%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Cleanthony Early	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	12	60%	0.02	4	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.01	15	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	13	41%	-0.02	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	10%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.7	34.0	15.8	26.2	2.4	26.4	132.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +37.4%

NYK -0.2%

LAC +0.5%

LAC +10.9%

LAC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NYK	NBA	LAC	NYK	NBA
this game	14.2	16.4	15.1	119.4	84.2	104.2
season	14.6	16.1		110.5	98.5
opponent	15.0	15.3		108.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.7	13.5	15.2	14.7	14.2
NYK	16.3	15.8	17.4	16.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	55	57	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.61	35	-4	39	14.0	14.6	-0.53	16.5	16.1	0.41
Chris Paul	55	57	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.62	35	-4	39	14.0	14.6	-0.53	16.5	16.1	0.41
Matt Barnes	52	54	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.57	32	-1	33	13.9	14.7	-0.75	16.9	15.7	1.14
Blake Griffin	50	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.57	32	-1	33	13.9	14.6	-0.64	16.8	15.8	0.98
JJ Redick	43	44	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.64	34	-3	37	13.2	15.1	-1.87	17.1	15.7	1.41
Spencer Hawes	29	29	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	31	-31	14.7	14.0	0.66	16.1	16.5	-0.45
Austin Rivers	36	38	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.24	-4	35	-39	15.4	13.5	1.88	15.9	16.7	-0.85
Hedo Turkoglu	26	26	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	29	-27	14.7	14.1	0.63	16.0	16.5	-0.57
Jordan Hamilton	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	33	-35	14.6	14.0	0.53	16.1	16.5	-0.41
Glen Davis	38	38	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	35	-39	14.6	14.0	0.53	16.1	16.5	-0.41
Dahntay Jones	14	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	32	-33	14.4	14.2	0.14	15.3	16.5	-1.24
CJ Wilcox	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	34	-37	14.6	14.2	0.43	15.3	16.6	-1.24
Ekpe Udoh	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	32	-33	14.4	14.2	0.14	15.3	16.5	-1.24

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	34	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-37	43	15.0	17.1	-2.10	15.3	13.6	1.73
Cole Aldrich	32	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-29	27	15.6	16.8	-1.18	13.1	14.8	-1.66
Cleanthony Early	53	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.35	-18	-13	-5	15.3	17.8	-2.52	14.0	14.6	-0.60
Ricky Ledo	51	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.22	-14	-17	3	15.3	17.6	-2.26	14.7	13.6	1.08
Jason Smith	47	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.22	-14	-17	3	16.0	16.7	-0.67	14.0	14.4	-0.42
Lance Thomas	51	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-21	11	17.3	15.3	1.93	15.4	12.9	2.47
Lou Amundson	28	28	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.51	-30	-1	-29	18.5	15.5	3.01	13.9	14.4	-0.49
Langston Galloway	78	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.37	-26	-5	-21	16.8	14.6	2.11	14.1	14.7	-0.54
Andrea Bargnani	40	39	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.32	-25	-6	-19	17.4	15.6	1.76	13.5	14.7	-1.20
Shane Larkin	61	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.23	-22	-9	-13	16.8	15.7	1.09	13.9	14.7	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 117, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
MEM 108, ORL 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
BOS 105, NJN 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%