NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	108		Excitement	1.8 [1266]		MVP	Brian Skinner (PHI): +5.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	81		Comeback	1.0 [477]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -4.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	12	74%	0.06	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Aaron McKie	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	58%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	14	62%	0.06	3	-0.03	11	82%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	18	51%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	48%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Derrick Coleman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	10	45%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	39%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Efthimios Rentzias	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.00	7	71%	0.01
Jamal Sampson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	12	58%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	13	64%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	45%	-0.03	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	30.5	16.4	24.4	2.4	23.6	123.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +29.6%

PHI +3.2%

PHI +15.2%

PHI +3.3%

MIL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	16.7	15.5	122.7	91.0	101.6
season	15.3	15.4		102.1	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		106.5	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.0	15.2	17.5	18.1	15.9
MIL	17.5	15.5	16.8	17.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	73	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.13	22	5	17	15.2	19.3	-4.12	16.6	17.4	-0.82
Allen Iverson	77	78	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.46	32	-5	37	15.6	17.5	-1.94	16.6	17.5	-0.98
Keith Van Horn	61	62	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.34	27	0	27	16.0	15.4	0.64	16.7	16.6	0.13
Brian Skinner	65	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	9	9	16.8	13.2	3.63	17.0	15.7	1.27
Aaron McKie	53	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.34	22	5	17	16.3	15.1	1.18	18.1	14.6	3.48
John Salmons	54	53	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	18	-9	16.7	14.5	2.16	15.6	18.3	-2.67
Derrick Coleman	43	41	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.24	13	14	-1	14.1	17.5	-3.35	16.1	17.2	-1.09
Efthimios Rentzias	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	31	-35	15.9	15.9	0.01	16.9	16.7	0.19
Kenny Satterfield	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	31	-35	15.9	15.9	0.01	16.9	16.7	0.19

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Sampson	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-27	27	23.5	16.5	6.97	16.7	15.8	0.84
Marcus Haislip	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-30	33	17.8	16.5	1.29	18.4	15.5	2.87
Dan Gadzuric	36	38	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-30	33	16.7	16.7	0.06	18.6	13.8	4.80
Tim Thomas	56	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-24	21	15.4	18.8	-3.39	17.2	13.6	3.55
Kevin Ollie	47	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	-18	9	16.2	17.2	-1.00	15.2	16.7	-1.51
Toni Kukoc	41	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.33	-18	-9	-9	16.5	16.8	-0.28	14.9	16.7	-1.87
Ervin Johnson	27	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-16	5	17.2	16.5	0.72	13.9	16.7	-2.78
Sam Cassell	46	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	-6	-15	16.7	16.6	0.11	16.4	15.3	1.15
Michael Redd	64	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.44	-30	3	-33	17.6	14.4	3.18	15.3	17.1	-1.74
Ray Allen	62	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.18	-22	-5	-17	16.5	17.1	-0.61	15.0	17.9	-2.94
Anthony Mason	53	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.32	-27	0	-27	16.9	16.4	0.45	15.5	16.4	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 119, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
DAL 101, MIN 78	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
ATL 101, VAN 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%