NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	119		Excitement	2.2 [1245]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (PHI): +11.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	1.1 [1071]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CLE): -8.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.01	-0.04	15	59%	0.11	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Allen Iverson	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	23	64%	0.11	2	-0.02	18	89%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	3	112%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	12	65%	0.02	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	8	40%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
John Salmons	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Efthimios Rentzias	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	30%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	46%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	60%	0.01	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.08	11	66%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	17	44%	-0.01	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	55%	-0.03	5	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	7	33%	-0.06	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	1.8	28.1	15.5	27.4	1.6	32.0	135.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.4%

PHI +10.6%

CLE -2.9%

PHI +6.1%

PHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	14.2	13.8	15.5	116.7	95.2	101.6
season	15.3	15.1		102.1	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.5		104.3	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.9	15.6	16.1	13.4	14.2
CLE	14.8	13.3	12.7	14.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	88	89	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	-1	22	14.2	13.8	0.45	13.8	13.9	-0.09
Derrick Coleman	83	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.24	25	-5	30	13.9	15.5	-1.66	14.0	12.8	1.23
Keith Van Horn	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.22	22	-2	24	13.5	15.9	-2.37	14.4	12.2	2.23
Eric Snow	75	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.25	23	-3	26	14.2	14.1	0.09	14.5	11.7	2.82
Kenny Thomas	10	11	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.18	13	7	6	10.7	14.6	-3.85	15.1	13.6	1.46
Greg Buckner	25	27	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	11	-2	15.7	13.7	1.99	12.0	14.4	-2.47
Aaron McKie	52	52	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	22	-24	15.0	13.3	1.68	14.3	13.2	1.08
Brian Skinner	36	39	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	24	-28	15.7	13.3	2.39	13.5	14.0	-0.48
Monty Williams	34	34	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	19	-18	13.2	14.7	-1.50	13.8	13.8	0.01
John Salmons	15	15	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	22	-24	13.1	14.4	-1.22	11.9	14.1	-2.17
Efthimios Rentzias	11	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	23	-26	15.8	14.0	1.84	9.1	14.4	-5.32
Kenny Satterfield	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	13.7	14.2	-0.50	10.9	14.0	-3.14

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-21	22	11.7	14.0	-2.21	12.1	14.4	-2.23
DeSagana Diop	25	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-14	8	12.5	14.2	-1.67	16.7	13.5	3.20
Jumaine Jones	66	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-23	26	13.8	13.7	0.16	14.2	14.1	0.06
Chris Mihm	39	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-14	8	14.2	13.5	0.67	14.3	14.1	0.17
Milt Palacio	64	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-14	8	14.0	13.4	0.63	14.0	14.4	-0.45
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	55	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-12	4	14.4	13.1	1.38	13.9	14.5	-0.53
Carlos Boozer	60	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-5	-10	13.5	14.2	-0.76	14.1	14.2	-0.09
Ricky Davis	77	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.14	-18	-2	-16	13.8	13.8	-0.04	13.7	15.4	-1.67
Dajuan Wagner	55	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.30	-24	4	-28	14.0	13.5	0.49	14.2	14.1	0.12
Darius Miles	71	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.14	-21	1	-22	13.6	14.3	-0.71	14.3	13.9	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 108, MIL 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
DEN 118, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
OKC 138, MIN 113	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%