NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	118		Excitement	2.4 [1250]		MVP	Nene (DEN): +10.5%
Sacramento Kings	85		Comeback	1.1 [1041]		LVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): -11.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.01	-0.04	11	59%	0.12	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.17	0.00	0.09	9	86%	0.09	2	-0.01	10	90%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	11	68%	0.07	1	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Carmelo Anthony	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	15	50%	0.06	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	10	67%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Carter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	1	50%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheikh Samb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	8	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.05	4	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	17	52%	0.01	3	-0.01	8	87%	-0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.17	0.00	-0.14	16	24%	-0.03	2	-0.00	2	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	11	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	9	54%	0.03	6	-0.06	8	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	14	36%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	11	30%	-0.06	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.3	31.6	15.7	31.1	2.6	27.4	139.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +44.8%

DEN +6.2%

SAC -3.7%

DEN +0.4%

DEN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SAC	NBA	DEN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.3	14.7	15.5	116.8	86.7	106.4
season	14.4	15.0		109.5	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.7		112.7	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	11.4	13.6	18.0	14.9	14.3
SAC	16.5	14.7	15.4	12.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	48	45	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.39	32	1	31	15.1	13.5	1.62	15.6	13.8	1.75
Carmelo Anthony	64	59	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.40	32	1	31	14.1	14.6	-0.55	15.3	13.7	1.51
Renaldo Balkman	64	63	0.48	0.01	0.47	-0.54	35	-2	37	15.4	12.4	3.07	13.8	16.2	-2.45
Dahntay Jones	56	54	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.57	35	-2	37	15.6	12.6	3.02	14.5	14.8	-0.26
Chauncey Billups	63	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.31	26	7	19	15.1	12.9	2.16	15.7	12.9	2.79
J.R. Smith	55	54	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	30	-27	13.4	15.4	-1.97	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Linas Kleiza	45	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	33	-33	11.6	16.4	-4.82	15.3	14.1	1.12
Anthony Carter	33	33	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	38	-43	13.0	14.9	-1.93	15.8	14.1	1.71
Chucky Atkins	25	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.17	6	27	-21	14.8	14.1	0.67	11.8	15.7	-3.93
Cheikh Samb	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	29	-25	12.6	14.6	-1.92	10.4	15.4	-5.01
Chris Andersen	38	38	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	36	-39	14.2	14.3	-0.14	14.7	14.6	0.14

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-34	35	15.7	14.5	1.16	14.2	14.3	-0.15
Donte Greene	30	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.17	-6	-27	21	13.0	15.4	-2.43	14.0	14.4	-0.42
Mikki Moore	8	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-31	29	15.0	14.6	0.38	7.0	15.0	-8.01
Bobby Brown	39	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.26	-12	-21	9	13.8	15.2	-1.47	12.8	15.3	-2.48
Francisco Garcia	41	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	-27	21	15.5	14.1	1.39	13.6	14.8	-1.24
Brad Miller	32	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.15	-11	-22	11	15.6	14.2	1.40	17.1	13.0	4.10
Jason Thompson	64	65	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.28	-18	-15	-3	14.2	15.6	-1.43	13.0	16.7	-3.77
Beno Udrih	73	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.43	-27	-6	-21	13.6	17.7	-4.06	15.3	11.6	3.74
Spencer Hawes	72	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.45	-28	-5	-23	14.5	15.0	-0.52	15.3	11.6	3.69
Kevin Martin	58	61	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.21	-24	-9	-15	15.6	13.3	2.33	14.5	14.0	0.41
John Salmons	61	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.43	-32	-1	-31	15.8	12.8	3.00	14.4	14.1	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 119, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
HOU 111, NYK 79	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
HOU 124, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%