NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	2.4 [1231]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +9.0%
New York Knicks	79		Comeback	1.0 [570]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -8.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.00	-0.05	13	52%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	0.01	0.07	11	81%	0.07	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Steve Francis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	14	67%	0.07	2	-0.02	12	83%	-0.00
Yao Ming	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	6	56%	0.04	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	9	62%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	11	42%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	61%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.00	0.07	11	71%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Cezary Trybanski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.15	0.00	-0.09	7	30%	-0.02	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	11	32%	-0.06	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.17	-0.00	-0.10	8	25%	-0.03	4	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.17	0.00	-0.08	12	25%	-0.05	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	3.6	28.0	19.4	32.2	2.8	31.2	145.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.2%

HOU +8.6%

NYK -0.4%

HOU +7.6%

NYK -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NYK	NBA	HOU	NYK	NBA
this game	17.1	14.0	15.7	120.7	84.9	100.5
season	16.5	15.5		98.8	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		100.8	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.5	17.5	15.7	19.0	17.1
NYK	14.2	14.6	13.1	14.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	76	79	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.43	35	-3	38	16.4	20.3	-3.88	14.2	13.2	0.98
Cuttino Mobley	73	73	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.28	26	6	20	16.7	18.5	-1.79	14.5	12.5	1.97
Yao Ming	51	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.29	25	7	18	16.6	17.7	-1.04	14.8	13.0	1.87
Kelvin Cato	52	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.49	31	1	30	16.4	18.0	-1.62	14.1	14.0	0.12
Steve Francis	78	79	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.28	23	9	14	16.9	18.4	-1.47	13.6	16.4	-2.81
Mike Wilks	14	14	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.16	9	23	-14	18.4	16.9	1.47	16.4	13.6	2.81
Scott Padgett	27	27	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	30	-28	18.2	16.7	1.52	14.7	13.8	0.93
Maurice Taylor	54	52	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.12	6	26	-20	17.7	16.3	1.40	12.8	15.6	-2.76
Bostjan Nachbar	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	25	-18	14.5	17.2	-2.73	13.0	14.1	-1.09
Eric Piatkowski	31	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	36	-40	20.0	15.7	4.31	12.8	14.7	-1.88

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cezary Trybanski	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-25	18	11.2	14.2	-3.00	17.8	17.1	0.78
Othella Harrington	21	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.17	-6	-26	20	14.4	13.9	0.44	18.3	16.7	1.54
Moochie Norris	48	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.24	-11	-21	10	14.4	13.6	0.77	17.3	16.8	0.51
Shandon Anderson	54	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-26	20	13.0	15.4	-2.40	17.9	15.9	1.99
Anfernee Hardaway	52	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.23	-12	-20	8	13.0	15.3	-2.28	17.4	16.7	0.77
Kurt Thomas	32	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.22	-20	-12	-8	14.2	13.9	0.32	16.4	17.5	-1.04
Allan Houston	51	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	-16	0	14.1	13.9	0.21	17.1	17.1	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	50	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.34	-26	-6	-20	14.8	13.1	1.72	15.9	18.3	-2.35
Keith Van Horn	72	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.36	-29	-3	-26	14.2	13.4	0.79	16.8	18.3	-1.53
Stephon Marbury	80	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.27	-27	-5	-22	14.4	11.6	2.82	17.1	17.3	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, WAS 68	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
DEN 118, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
DET 100, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%