NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	101		Excitement	2.1 [1287]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +10.6%
Washington Wizards	68		Comeback	1.0 [1176]		LVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): -6.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.18	0.00	0.07	20	71%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Luol Deng	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	53%	0.07	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	53%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	5	20%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	6	31%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	7	59%	0.07	3	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	9	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Mike Hall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	2	12%	0.00	2	-0.00	4	25%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	42%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	5	8%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	14	35%	-0.02	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	12	33%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	15	38%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	3.0	28.3	17.7	23.0	3.6	28.2	133.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +26.2%

CHI +7.9%

CHI +8.3%

WAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.6	17.3	15.4	113.5	74.7	104.5
season	14.5	14.8		103.1	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.9		108.7	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.2	15.4	12.5	17.8	14.6
WAS	17.9	16.6	17.5	17.3	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	51	53	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.31	27	6	21	14.3	15.1	-0.72	17.9	16.6	1.33
Luol Deng	50	54	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.24	23	10	13	13.5	16.1	-2.51	16.9	17.9	-0.99
Ben Wallace	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.32	25	8	17	13.1	18.2	-5.14	17.3	17.4	-0.04
Kirk Hinrich	47	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.29	22	11	11	13.6	15.8	-2.21	18.2	16.3	1.93
Ben Gordon	62	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.27	21	12	9	14.1	15.9	-1.85	17.5	16.9	0.68
Chris Duhon	48	47	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.24	17	16	1	15.2	14.0	1.23	17.1	17.6	-0.55
Tyrus Thomas	31	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.15	8	25	-17	15.2	14.3	0.85	16.5	17.8	-1.33
Andres Nocioni	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.22	10	23	-13	15.7	14.2	1.43	16.9	17.5	-0.57
Thabo Sefolosha	21	22	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.13	6	27	-21	17.3	13.8	3.52	15.3	18.0	-2.65
Malik Allen	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.17	6	27	-21	17.8	13.7	4.15	17.3	17.3	-0.04
Viktor Khryapa	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	33	-33	16.8	14.3	2.58	18.7	17.1	1.54
Michael Sweetney	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	33	-33	16.8	14.3	2.58	18.7	17.1	1.54

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	20	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.17	-6	-27	21	17.3	17.3	-0.04	17.8	13.7	4.15
Mike Hall	12	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-29	25	12.4	18.1	-5.66	15.5	14.5	0.99
Michael Ruffin	9	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-30	27	17.9	17.3	0.62	14.4	14.7	-0.22
Darius Songaila	32	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.16	-8	-25	17	18.3	16.8	1.52	16.5	13.5	2.98
Andray Blatche	33	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.12	-7	-26	19	16.2	18.0	-1.75	13.0	15.6	-2.66
Roger Mason Jr.	49	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.17	-12	-21	9	17.4	17.3	0.08	13.8	15.7	-1.83
Donell Taylor	53	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.26	-20	-13	-7	16.7	18.2	-1.51	13.4	16.2	-2.83
Jarvis Hayes	50	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.36	-24	-9	-15	18.8	15.5	3.26	15.3	13.8	1.46
Etan Thomas	62	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.27	-24	-9	-15	17.3	17.5	-0.22	13.5	16.8	-3.26
Antawn Jamison	69	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.30	-26	-7	-19	17.3	17.3	0.02	14.8	14.3	0.50
DeShawn Stevenson	66	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.41	-31	-2	-29	17.7	16.4	1.23	15.3	12.8	2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 124, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
SEA 111, GSW 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
CLE 135, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%