NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	91		Excitement	3.4 [1158]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +9.1%
Chicago Bulls	111		Comeback	1.5 [1136]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -10.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.07	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	17	55%	0.11	3	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Amir Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	57%	0.02	3	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Solomon Alabi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.01	0.09	15	48%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	10	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	0.06	14	56%	0.01	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.04	11	76%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Luol Deng	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	17	56%	0.07	2	-0.01	9	56%	-0.03
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	81%	0.07	4	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	5	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	2.0	30.3	16.6	26.2	2.5	29.4	137.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +24.4%

TOR -4.6%

CHI +9.9%

CHI +18.8%

CHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.5	15.5	94.8	118.1	105.7
season	15.1	15.7		104.7	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		99.2	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.4	14.7	15.9	13.6	14.9
CHI	15.3	14.7	16.8	15.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Alabi	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	12.8	15.0	-2.18	16.8	15.4	1.42
Ed Davis	37	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-16	12	14.9	14.8	0.13	15.1	15.7	-0.61
Jerryd Bayless	62	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-15	10	15.2	14.2	0.97	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Amir Johnson	52	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-17	14	15.5	14.1	1.47	15.8	15.0	0.87
Ronald Dupree	22	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-13	6	13.1	15.4	-2.24	16.0	15.3	0.78
Joey Dorsey	18	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-13	6	13.7	15.1	-1.47	15.7	15.4	0.33
Julian Wright	30	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.22	-15	-5	-10	14.1	15.2	-1.16	14.9	15.7	-0.82
DeMar DeRozan	73	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-10	0	15.3	13.4	1.94	15.4	15.5	-0.06
Linas Kleiza	57	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-8	-4	14.7	15.1	-0.31	15.6	15.2	0.43
Leandro Barbosa	58	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	-2	-16	14.7	15.2	-0.53	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Andrea Bargnani	66	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	1	-22	15.2	14.2	0.97	15.3	15.9	-0.62

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	48	50	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.06	19	1	18	15.0	15.9	-0.89	15.4	14.3	1.03
Luol Deng	80	81	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.10	17	3	14	15.6	14.9	0.71	14.8	15.0	-0.16
Ronnie Brewer	53	53	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.21	20	0	20	14.9	16.1	-1.22	14.5	15.3	-0.71
Kyle Korver	41	42	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.24	19	1	18	14.8	16.0	-1.20	14.3	15.3	-0.94
CJ Watson	37	37	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.21	16	4	12	15.1	15.7	-0.53	14.7	15.0	-0.26
Omer Asik	42	43	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.18	15	5	10	15.0	15.9	-0.91	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Carlos Boozer	47	48	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	13	-6	15.7	15.3	0.40	15.7	14.0	1.65
Derrick Rose	57	59	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	16	-12	15.7	15.1	0.53	15.0	14.7	0.26
Brian Scalabrine	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	16.8	15.4	1.42	12.8	15.0	-2.18
James Johnson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	16.8	15.4	1.42	12.8	15.0	-2.18
Keith Bogans	27	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	23	-26	16.4	15.1	1.33	15.6	14.5	1.10
Kurt Thomas	28	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.21	-10	30	-40	16.9	14.8	2.10	14.9	14.8	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 94, DET 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MIN 96, GSW 123	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIL 86, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%