NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Excitement	3.1 [1132]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (GSW): +8.1%
Golden State Warriors	123		Comeback	1.5 [812]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -16.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cherokee Parks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	6	79%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug West	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	11	58%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	15	56%	0.05	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
James Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	7	14%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Heal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	15	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	9	35%	-0.07	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.01	0.04	11	47%	-0.07	4	-0.10	8	75%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	19	61%	0.11	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	10	80%	0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	21	58%	0.06	5	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Owes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	62%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	6	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	26.1	15.4	27.0	1.0	27.4	121.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +35.7%

GSW +1.0%

GSW +9.3%

GSW +2.5%

GSW +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	15.4	14.0	15.6	98.0	125.5	104.4
season	15.5	15.0		103.3	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.5		109.1	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.3	15.8	15.5	13.3	15.4
GSW	12.0	15.5	14.0	14.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	23	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.19	6	-33	39	12.9	16.2	-3.34	14.9	13.7	1.19
Chris Carr	11	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.13	-6	-21	15	15.6	15.4	0.23	8.9	14.5	-5.63
James Robinson	37	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.25	-12	-15	3	14.9	15.8	-0.86	14.1	13.9	0.15
Shane Heal	13	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-21	15	18.9	14.9	4.03	16.0	13.6	2.35
Sam Mitchell	71	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.11	-9	-18	9	14.7	17.4	-2.78	14.1	13.6	0.52
Cherokee Parks	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-23	19	14.4	16.1	-1.69	13.5	14.3	-0.79
Stojko Vrankovic	26	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	-14	1	18.7	14.3	4.39	13.8	14.0	-0.21
Stephon Marbury	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.45	-27	0	-27	15.6	15.1	0.59	13.2	15.3	-2.08
Kevin Garnett	81	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-10	-7	15.6	14.8	0.73	14.4	12.1	2.30
Doug West	66	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.22	-21	-6	-15	15.5	15.3	0.13	13.9	14.2	-0.30
Tom Gugliotta	62	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.23	-26	-1	-25	15.7	15.0	0.63	14.5	13.0	1.47

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	81	82	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.16	21	6	15	14.4	11.9	2.44	15.4	15.6	-0.23
Chris Mullin	69	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	14	-1	13.9	14.2	-0.35	15.9	14.3	1.63
Joe Smith	82	81	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.23	21	6	15	14.7	10.3	4.36	15.6	14.6	1.02
Mark Price	57	57	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.33	23	4	19	14.5	13.2	1.31	15.8	15.0	0.82
Andrew DeClercq	17	18	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	18	-9	11.9	14.4	-2.44	17.8	14.9	2.88
B.J. Armstrong	41	41	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	23	-19	13.2	14.5	-1.31	15.0	15.8	-0.82
Ray Owes	37	37	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.14	10	17	-7	14.2	13.8	0.46	13.8	16.4	-2.69
Bimbo Coles	37	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.29	15	12	3	14.3	13.8	0.50	15.0	15.7	-0.66
Felton Spencer	23	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	20	-13	14.6	13.8	0.85	17.6	14.7	2.91
Donyell Marshall	38	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.12	8	19	-11	12.6	14.8	-2.17	14.1	16.2	-2.08
Todd Fuller	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	23	-19	9.2	14.4	-5.13	13.5	15.6	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
SAC 84, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
ORL 86, PHX 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%