NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	86		Excitement	2.6 [1179]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +11.6%
Phoenix Suns	111		Comeback	1.6 [988]		LVP	Rony Seikaly (ORL): -6.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dan Schayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Lawson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	14	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Gerald Wilkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	0.00	0.12	6	92%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	8	48%	0.01	4	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Brian Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	54%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mark Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.07	6	14%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Derek Harper	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	15	50%	-0.02	4	-0.04	10	80%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.05	8	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	16	64%	0.08	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	7	71%	0.08	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	11	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	90%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	12	47%	-0.02	3	-0.02	12	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	23.2	16.8	31.4	1.4	23.3	121.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +35.1%

ORL -4.9%

PHX +12.9%

PHX +6.9%

PHX +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	17.4	15.3	15.6	98.9	124.7	102.5
season	16.7	15.0		100.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.6		100.0	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.9	18.6	18.2	17.2	17.4
PHX	15.4	15.0	15.3	15.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Lawson	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-33	41	14.9	17.8	-2.92	15.2	15.3	-0.17
Brian Evans	22	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.27	9	-34	43	17.3	17.5	-0.22	16.6	14.9	1.75
Dan Schayes	22	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.25	-9	-16	7	19.2	16.8	2.34	15.7	15.2	0.48
Vernon Maxwell	41	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-21	17	17.2	17.7	-0.50	15.6	15.1	0.47
Derek Harper	38	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.17	-11	-14	3	17.7	17.2	0.44	15.3	15.3	0.05
Bo Outlaw	51	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.29	-16	-9	-7	17.1	17.9	-0.77	15.7	14.8	0.92
Gerald Wilkins	27	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-18	11	17.3	17.5	-0.26	14.6	15.6	-1.03
Darrell Armstrong	49	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.38	-21	-4	-17	18.1	16.6	1.43	14.6	16.1	-1.52
Mark Price	23	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.12	-13	-12	-1	16.8	17.7	-0.83	16.0	15.1	0.90
Nick Anderson	29	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-16	7	17.6	17.4	0.17	14.2	15.9	-1.63
Horace Grant	61	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.33	-28	3	-31	17.3	17.7	-0.36	15.2	15.5	-0.22
Rony Seikaly	60	61	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.20	-24	-1	-23	17.5	17.3	0.26	15.4	15.1	0.30

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	57	54	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.15	20	5	15	15.3	15.4	-0.09	18.0	16.5	1.48
George McCloud	48	45	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.23	21	4	17	15.6	15.0	0.63	18.7	16.1	2.55
Jason Kidd	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.30	23	2	21	15.4	15.2	0.12	17.5	17.3	0.17
Danny Manning	50	47	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.36	25	0	25	16.0	14.5	1.47	18.3	16.5	1.78
Hot Rod Williams	25	25	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	10	5	15.0	15.5	-0.49	18.7	16.9	1.80
Clifford Robinson	62	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	8	9	15.0	15.9	-0.88	16.7	19.2	-2.45
Rex Chapman	45	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.22	14	11	3	15.4	15.2	0.13	17.0	17.9	-0.88
Mark Bryant	23	24	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	21	-17	14.9	15.5	-0.54	16.7	17.7	-1.01
Cedric Ceballos	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	24	-23	15.3	15.3	0.03	17.5	17.4	0.15
Brooks Thompson	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	33	-41	15.2	15.3	-0.17	14.9	17.8	-2.92
Marko Milic	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	32	-39	15.3	15.3	-0.05	16.6	17.6	-1.05
Antonio McDyess	16	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	25	-25	14.5	15.5	-0.99	15.3	18.0	-2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
MIN 111, SAS 133	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
NJN 92, IND 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%