inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 111 Excitement2.7 [1225] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +9.5%
San Antonio Spurs 133 Comeback1.6 [1257] LVPJonny Flynn (MIN): -6.5%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wayne Ellington0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.01-0.051252%0.063-0.021100%0.00
Corey Brewer0.030,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.000.02861%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Al Jefferson0.030,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01862%0.042-0.025100%0.01
Ryan Gomes0.020,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.07-0.000.04871%0.051-0.031100%0.00
Kevin Love0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.080.01-0.09744%0.044-0.031182%0.02
Sasha Pavlovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.160.000.167114%0.0010.0000%0.00
Brian Cardinal0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Ryan Hollins-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02575%-0.002-0.00250%0.00
Damien Wilkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ramon Sessions-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.011154%-0.023-0.02250%-0.00
Darko Milicic-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.02743%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Jonny Flynn-0.070,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.00-0.04728%-0.052-0.02475%-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.140.010.05789%0.1000.004100%0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.000.02972%0.0800.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.02972%0.102-0.0200%0.00
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.190.000.137106%0.0600.002100%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.02-0.03460%0.061-0.00250%-0.01
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00754%0.0410.001250%-0.02
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02860%0.011-0.00450%-0.00
Malik Hairston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.05864%0.0020.00650%-0.00
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03362%0.0000.00250%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.02757%0.021-0.0200%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.090.00-0.08633%0.013-0.0100%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.010.04661%0.011-0.026100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.333.215.631.21.833.3145.6
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +42.3%
MIN -7.6%
SAS +9.4%
SAS +6.2%
MIN -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINSASNBAMINSASNBA
this game13.513.915.3106.7125.5106.0
season14.715.9100.1108.2
opponent15.114.8103.4109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN15.712.015.311.613.5
SAS14.913.713.513.613.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Cardinal2426-0.01-0.490.49-0.217-293611.614.1-2.5313.314.1-0.73
Ryan Hollins2930-0.01-0.490.49-0.072-242611.514.3-2.7913.214.2-1.02
Al Jefferson5051-0.04-0.460.41-0.071-232413.913.20.6414.613.31.30
Ramon Sessions5659-0.14-0.360.22-0.233-252812.914.3-1.4214.513.11.46
Sasha Pavlovic4648-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-3-191611.515.2-3.7213.714.1-0.42
Damien Wilkins1615-0.20-0.300.110.10-10-12216.713.03.7314.613.80.82
Ryan Gomes3841-0.20-0.300.100.18-13-9-415.112.62.4813.913.90.05
Corey Brewer4142-0.30-0.20-0.100.23-18-4-1414.912.72.1914.113.80.29
Kevin Love5349-0.30-0.20-0.110.19-17-5-1213.313.7-0.4213.913.90.04
Darko Milicic4244-0.35-0.15-0.200.30-220-2215.712.13.6314.113.80.29
Jonny Flynn4847-0.36-0.14-0.220.37-253-2814.312.91.4213.114.5-1.46
Wayne Ellington7778-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.00-15-7-812.715.8-3.0413.714.4-0.72

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker49480.68-0.180.87-0.2030-83813.913.90.0413.913.20.72
Roger Mason Jr.67640.480.020.45-0.142112013.714.2-0.4913.014.4-1.37
Richard Jefferson46430.420.080.34-0.2523-12414.413.50.9516.211.74.49
DeJuan Blair57550.390.110.28-0.141841414.213.60.5712.914.3-1.43
Tim Duncan40400.340.160.18-0.221931614.213.70.4915.012.62.43
Keith Bogans52510.170.33-0.150.09319-1613.314.5-1.1611.515.5-4.08
Ian Mahinmi42430.150.35-0.210.12121-2013.714.0-0.3813.413.6-0.15
George Hill36370.020.48-0.46-0.07319-1613.614.1-0.5214.013.30.77
Malik Hairston34340.010.49-0.490.07-224-2613.913.90.0212.214.2-2.01
Garrett Temple29280.000.50-0.490.06-224-2613.614.0-0.3811.614.2-2.63
Manu Ginobili4343-0.030.53-0.57-0.09220-1814.813.31.4714.712.71.91
Matt Bonner3534-0.130.63-0.760.04-628-3413.414.2-0.7814.213.20.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 86, PHX 1110.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
GSW 93, DAL 1170.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
GSW 67, MEM 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%