NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	93		Excitement	2.8 [1211]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +9.2%
Dallas Mavericks	117		Comeback	1.6 [988]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (GSW): -8.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.03	0.04	14	66%	0.11	4	-0.05	10	90%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	13	62%	0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rob Kurz	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermareo Davidson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	10	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	11	28%	-0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	9	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	6	25%	-0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.02	0.05	10	85%	0.14	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	13	70%	0.09	3	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.01	-0.08	11	53%	0.10	3	-0.02	8	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.05	20	45%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.11	0.00	0.12	9	74%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.5	35.2	19.0	30.0	2.5	24.6	140.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +37.9%

DAL +3.8%

DAL +5.1%

DAL +2.2%

DAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	13.6	14.9	15.5	92.1	115.8	106.4
season	13.8	15.6		107.3	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.0		107.1	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.5	14.1	12.0	12.7	13.6
DAL	13.9	12.0	16.3	17.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermareo Davidson	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	10.4	13.8	-3.38	18.0	14.7	3.26
Ronny Turiaf	46	46	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-19	14	13.5	13.7	-0.29	15.2	14.7	0.54
Rob Kurz	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-25	26	10.2	14.2	-4.00	16.8	14.5	2.27
CJ Watson	34	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-20	16	12.1	14.4	-2.21	17.7	13.5	4.18
Anthony Morrow	44	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.13	-7	-17	10	13.4	13.8	-0.32	15.9	14.2	1.75
Anthony Randolph	29	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-17	10	14.7	13.2	1.46	15.2	14.8	0.43
Monta Ellis	56	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	-13	2	14.0	13.1	0.95	13.6	16.5	-2.94
Kelenna Azubuike	57	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-15	6	12.7	14.8	-2.13	14.7	15.1	-0.41
Jamal Crawford	48	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-15	6	14.1	13.2	0.93	15.1	14.7	0.31
Corey Maggette	48	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.23	-22	-2	-20	14.8	12.5	2.32	13.8	15.8	-1.93
Stephen Jackson	68	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.17	-22	-2	-20	13.9	13.0	0.91	13.8	17.1	-3.25
Andris Biedrins	54	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.16	-23	-1	-22	14.2	12.9	1.27	14.7	15.1	-0.34

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	60	61	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.17	26	-2	28	13.8	16.5	-2.63	14.0	12.9	1.10
Jason Kidd	70	71	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.17	25	-1	26	14.0	16.9	-2.94	13.8	13.1	0.68
Jason Terry	55	54	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.26	22	2	20	14.3	15.6	-1.30	14.4	12.7	1.63
Josh Howard	64	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	6	12	14.1	16.4	-2.29	14.2	12.5	1.77
Erick Dampier	57	57	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	11	2	14.4	15.6	-1.18	13.4	13.8	-0.40
Antoine Wright	54	54	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.10	12	12	0	14.6	15.3	-0.74	13.4	13.8	-0.40
Brandon Bass	49	48	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	14	-4	15.7	14.2	1.54	13.7	13.5	0.18
Matt Carroll	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	18.3	14.2	4.08	11.4	14.0	-2.66
Ryan Hollins	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	28	-32	18.8	14.4	4.46	10.7	14.0	-3.34
Jose Juan Barea	31	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	25	-26	16.9	14.0	2.94	13.1	13.8	-0.68
James Singleton	36	36	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.06	-1	25	-26	16.4	14.1	2.36	13.0	13.9	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 116, DAL 140	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MIN 111, SAS 133	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
BKN 87, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%