NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	116		Excitement	2.7 [1215]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +16.7%
Dallas Mavericks	140		Comeback	1.3 [839]		LVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): -8.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	0.01	0.08	14	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.16	-0.00	0.09	12	70%	0.07	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alando Tucker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	0.00	0.09	6	76%	0.00	1	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	9	61%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Lou Amundson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	4	33%	0.02	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	9	67%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	12	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	4	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.01	-0.02	12	75%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.23	0.00	0.11	12	87%	0.12	2	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.00	0.03	8	95%	0.14	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Josh Howard	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.00	0.08	17	65%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	8	78%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	75%	0.00	4	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	4.4	36.4	20.4	31.2	3.5	30.6	151.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +34.9%

DAL +8.6%

PHX -0.2%

DAL +6.6%

DAL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	12.8	16.1	15.5	117.2	140.0	106.4
season	14.1	15.6		112.1	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		107.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.1	15.8	12.6	12.0	12.8
DAL	15.1	13.0	16.1	20.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	36	39	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-27	30	12.9	12.8	0.04	18.4	14.6	3.76
Alando Tucker	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-32	40	11.6	13.1	-1.57	20.5	15.1	5.38
Lou Amundson	41	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-26	28	12.9	12.8	0.11	18.5	14.4	4.06
Jared Dudley	54	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-18	12	13.1	12.5	0.64	17.0	15.1	1.90
Leandro Barbosa	48	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.26	-16	-8	-8	13.1	12.6	0.48	15.9	16.3	-0.46
Robin Lopez	35	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-13	2	13.0	12.7	0.25	18.6	14.7	3.91
Matt Barnes	45	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.30	-19	-5	-14	12.6	13.0	-0.36	14.9	17.0	-2.11
Shaquille O'Neal	59	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.17	-15	-9	-6	13.0	12.6	0.40	14.6	18.3	-3.73
Jason Richardson	36	35	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.19	-20	-4	-16	13.7	12.3	1.39	13.7	17.4	-3.61
Grant Hill	63	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.22	-24	0	-24	12.6	13.3	-0.78	14.6	18.9	-4.26
Steve Nash	60	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.13	-22	-2	-20	12.4	13.6	-1.20	14.9	17.8	-2.91

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	66	65	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.22	29	-5	34	14.7	18.8	-4.14	12.9	12.7	0.16
Brandon Bass	55	55	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.39	31	-7	38	16.1	16.0	0.12	13.6	11.9	1.75
Jason Terry	51	50	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.52	34	-10	44	15.5	16.7	-1.18	14.4	11.3	3.11
Josh Howard	61	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.43	30	-6	36	14.6	18.4	-3.76	12.7	13.1	-0.48
James Singleton	31	30	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	18	-12	18.4	15.1	3.28	14.2	12.2	1.95
Dirk Nowitzki	65	65	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.38	23	1	22	14.8	18.5	-3.64	12.0	14.4	-2.35
Jose Juan Barea	55	55	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.26	11	13	-2	17.5	14.3	3.19	12.7	13.0	-0.33
Matt Carroll	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	35	-46	18.6	15.6	3.01	11.4	13.1	-1.67
Gerald Green	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	33	-42	15.9	16.1	-0.19	12.0	13.0	-0.97
Ryan Hollins	25	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.20	-7	31	-38	17.4	15.7	1.69	11.6	13.2	-1.66
Erick Dampier	24	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	29	-34	15.2	16.4	-1.21	12.8	12.9	-0.10
Antoine Wright	36	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.24	-12	36	-48	18.7	14.6	4.03	12.1	13.3	-1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 93, DAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
BKN 87, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIN 111, SAS 133	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%