NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	94		Excitement	3.3 [910]		MVP	Brandon Knight (DET): +14.0%
Detroit Pistons	109		Comeback	1.5 [635]		LVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): -11.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	7	93%	0.10	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	11	53%	0.05	1	-0.00	10	60%	0.00
DJ White	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.01	0.06	9	65%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Gerald Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Derrick Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	47%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	10	23%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.02	-0.03	14	59%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	18	62%	0.13	3	-0.04	11	82%	0.02
Greg Monroe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	11	61%	0.07	2	-0.01	9	78%	-0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	64%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Macklin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walker Russell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	11	45%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.01	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	7	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.4	32.3	17.8	25.6	1.8	31.2	136.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +34.0%

DET +1.3%

DET +15.4%

CHA -2.1%

DET +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	15.8	15.1	15.6	101.1	117.2	102.8
season	16.3	16.3		94.1	99.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		104.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.4	18.0	15.5	13.1	15.8
DET	15.3	14.7	16.5	14.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	16	16	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-16	17	17.9	15.4	2.45	16.2	14.9	1.37
Matt Carroll	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-15	15	9.0	16.4	-7.41	10.1	15.5	-5.38
DeSagana Diop	35	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-17	19	14.5	16.7	-2.19	15.9	14.7	1.23
DJ White	31	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-19	23	14.2	16.7	-2.53	15.8	14.8	1.06
Tyrus Thomas	27	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-8	1	16.0	15.8	0.16	15.3	15.0	0.26
Reggie Williams	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-11	7	16.2	15.6	0.56	15.4	15.0	0.42
Derrick Brown	35	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-13	11	16.0	15.8	0.20	16.6	14.2	2.39
Kemba Walker	38	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-4	-7	15.0	16.4	-1.39	14.3	15.7	-1.44
D.J. Augustin	55	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-11	7	16.4	15.0	1.39	15.7	14.3	1.44
Corey Maggette	58	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-2	-11	15.8	16.0	-0.20	14.2	16.6	-2.39
Gerald Henderson	52	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-4	-7	16.5	15.0	1.56	15.6	14.5	1.13
Boris Diaw	45	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-3	-9	17.8	14.1	3.69	15.1	15.2	-0.10
Byron Mullens	32	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	3	-21	15.2	16.2	-1.01	12.9	16.2	-3.37

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	53	51	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	-4	23	14.6	15.8	-1.24	16.9	14.5	2.37
Brandon Knight	68	67	0.42	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	3	9	15.2	14.9	0.27	16.2	14.9	1.34
Rodney Stuckey	69	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	1	13	15.1	15.1	0.05	16.1	15.0	1.09
Tayshaun Prince	57	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	6	3	16.0	13.7	2.23	16.3	15.1	1.13
Greg Monroe	61	63	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	10	-5	15.9	13.7	2.23	16.3	14.9	1.35
Ben Gordon	44	44	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	11	-7	15.5	14.8	0.68	15.7	16.0	-0.36
Ben Wallace	27	25	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	5	5	14.2	15.5	-1.31	16.2	15.7	0.53
Damien Wilkins	38	38	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	9	-3	13.6	16.2	-2.56	14.2	17.0	-2.82
Jonas Jerebko	38	39	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	19	-23	16.1	14.5	1.62	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Vernon Macklin	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	10.8	15.4	-4.56	8.4	16.3	-7.87
Walker Russell	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	10.8	15.4	-4.56	9.8	16.3	-6.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
TOR 91, CHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
ATL 87, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.83,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%