NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Excitement	8.3 [200]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +18.3%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	6.5 [352]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): -35.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0.18	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.08,0.02,0.18	0.01	0.19	0.02	17	56%	0.27	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	3	133%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	13	52%	0.16	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Corey Brewer	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	58%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Kosta Koufos	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	6	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	-0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	11	40%	-0.11	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.36	-0.07	-0.28	0.00	14	39%	-0.12	2	-0.24	5	100%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.09	0.03	16	62%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.00	15	52%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.06
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	69%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	16	57%	0.16	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	53%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.08,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.05	-0.01	8	37%	0.11	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.04	-0.00	4	20%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	4	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.0	31.2	15.7	29.0	1.8	38.0	142.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +21.3%

BOS +19.1%

MIN -19.9%

BOS +31.8%

MIN -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BOS	NBA	MIN	BOS	NBA
this game	14.4	16.7	15.5	101.1	103.2	105.7
season	14.3	15.7		102.7	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.1		99.6	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.1	13.8	13.5	16.5	14.4
BOS	20.9	13.3	17.8	15.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	46	48	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.00	8	-11	19	13.2	15.7	-2.50	17.8	15.5	2.35
Wesley Johnson	57	57	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.18	9	-12	21	12.8	17.1	-4.31	17.2	15.9	1.33
Kosta Koufos	6	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-3	3	16.0	14.3	1.66	13.7	16.9	-3.22
Martell Webster	51	49	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.10	-5	2	-7	15.5	13.2	2.26	15.8	17.7	-1.95
Jonny Flynn	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.07	-5	2	-7	15.0	14.2	0.75	16.4	16.8	-0.41
Kevin Love	84	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.38	2	-5	7	14.5	14.1	0.35	17.0	13.5	3.48
Luke Ridnour	68	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.48	2	-5	7	14.2	15.0	-0.75	16.8	16.4	0.41
Michael Beasley	45	48	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.54	-2	-1	-1	13.4	15.5	-2.13	17.2	16.1	1.14
Nikola Pekovic	39	38	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.37	-9	6	-15	16.1	13.3	2.79	15.9	17.2	-1.28
Corey Brewer	40	41	-0.69	0.20	-0.89	-0.26	-15	12	-27	16.3	13.0	3.28	15.6	17.5	-1.91

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	53	54	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.58	3	0	3	17.1	16.1	0.97	14.5	14.4	0.09
Rajon Rondo	69	68	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	-1	5	16.5	17.1	-0.55	13.9	15.9	-1.99
Paul Pierce	74	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	0	3	16.4	17.8	-1.40	13.6	17.8	-4.21
Shaquille O'Neal	60	59	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.29	-1	4	-5	16.5	16.9	-0.36	14.0	15.3	-1.29
Von Wafer	30	32	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.21	16	-13	29	14.1	17.9	-3.85	16.2	13.5	2.77
Ray Allen	64	61	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.59	-13	16	-29	17.8	14.2	3.54	13.3	16.8	-3.51
Jermaine O'Neal	32	31	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	1	1	17.2	16.4	0.73	16.1	13.6	2.54
Nate Robinson	25	26	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	2	-1	16.8	16.6	0.11	14.8	14.3	0.56
Marquis Daniels	24	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.08	0	3	-3	18.0	16.2	1.78	16.7	13.6	3.06
Luke Harangody	34	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.11	0	3	-3	15.9	17.1	-1.16	15.1	14.1	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.55,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 93, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.19,0.44,0.73,1	91.7%
NYK 71, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.38,0.46,0.65,0.96,1	91.6%
HOU 84, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.91,1	91.0%