NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	71		Excitement	6.8 [254]		MVP	Jud Buechler (DET): +13.8%
Detroit Pistons	80		Comeback	7.0 [87]		LVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): -42.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	3	37%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	18	55%	0.01	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	6	43%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	-0.00	12	52%	-0.01	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	13	31%	-0.12	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.43	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.43,-0.43	-0.16	-0.28	-0.01	7	28%	-0.10	4	-0.33	4	75%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.13	0.00	3	50%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	0.07	-0.15	0.01	13	72%	0.14	3	-0.24	6	100%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	4	10%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	14	37%	-0.09	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.15,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.15	-0.22	0.01	19	36%	-0.21	2	-0.17	7	29%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	30.1	16.5	22.6	2.7	37.0	136.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.5%

NYK -2.9%

DET +18.8%

DET +0.8%

DET +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	16.5	15.8	80.7	90.9	99.6
season	16.0	16.6		97.0	101.4
opponent	16.1	16.6		97.9	95.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	17.5	16.6	15.5	16.2
DET	15.2	16.0	19.4	15.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	36	36	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.03	8	-17	25	17.1	15.6	1.53	17.2	16.0	1.18
Kurt Thomas	55	54	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.21	5	-14	19	16.3	16.1	0.23	17.0	15.7	1.28
Chris Childs	43	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	3	-15	16.3	16.1	0.28	16.2	16.9	-0.70
Allan Houston	74	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-7	5	16.1	16.7	-0.61	17.0	13.2	3.79
Charlie Ward	59	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-9	9	15.3	18.1	-2.83	15.3	19.0	-3.69
Larry Johnson	56	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	-4	-1	16.7	15.3	1.35	16.5	16.6	-0.09
Latrell Sprewell	57	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	7	-23	16.3	16.0	0.27	16.0	17.5	-1.49
Marcus Camby	60	59	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.14	-23	14	-37	16.0	16.7	-0.75	17.0	15.6	1.40

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	71	70	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-2	13	16.8	15.4	1.45	16.2	16.2	-0.02
Jud Buechler	31	33	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.02	20	-11	31	15.5	17.1	-1.65	16.3	16.1	0.21
Loy Vaught	15	15	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.28	7	2	5	16.9	16.5	0.41	17.4	16.0	1.44
Don Reid	62	62	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	2	5	16.9	15.6	1.29	15.7	17.5	-1.84
Grant Hill	75	75	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	3	3	16.0	19.8	-3.81	16.1	16.6	-0.48
Joe Dumars	65	63	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	10	-11	16.2	17.4	-1.23	15.7	17.4	-1.73
Eric Montross	20	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	5	-1	14.2	17.2	-3.01	17.5	15.8	1.74
Charles O'Bannon	5	5	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	8	-7	15.2	16.6	-1.40	16.2	16.2	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	23	24	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	11	-13	17.8	16.1	1.76	15.6	16.4	-0.85
Jerome Williams	47	48	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.13	-1	10	-11	18.0	14.8	3.17	16.6	15.7	0.83
Bison Dele	26	25	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.02	-7	16	-23	16.6	16.5	0.08	16.9	15.9	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.38,0.46,0.65,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.55,0.68,0.73,1	93.3%
CLE 101, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.26,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.37,0.78,0.91,1	92.3%
LAC 101, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.48,0.57,0.72,1	92.2%