NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	84		Excitement	6.5 [550]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +20.8%
Atlanta Hawks	88		Comeback	21.1 [92]		LVP	Charlie Ward (HOU): -29.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21	0.19	0.03	0.01	15	87%	0.27	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	20	44%	-0.12	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.22	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	5	20%	-0.15	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3	-0.16	-0.15	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	5	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	7	50%	0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	86%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	19	50%	0.07	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	14	50%	0.02	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	13	44%	-0.09	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	0.6	27.2	16.7	30.0	0.3	38.3	134.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +14.1%

ATL +5.1%

ATL +23.5%

ATL +6.7%

ATL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ATL	NBA	HOU	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.9	15.5	86.6	91.7	104.0
season	16.0	15.6		104.2	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.8		108.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.4	14.5	13.8	16.1	15.0
ATL	13.9	18.2	15.7	12.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	9	9	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.06	0	-4	4	14.1	15.1	-0.95	14.3	14.9	-0.60
Juwan Howard	39	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	0	-4	16.2	14.2	2.02	16.8	13.5	3.34
Dikembe Mutombo	14	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-2	0	14.5	15.0	-0.55	16.2	14.7	1.48
Ryan Bowen	22	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	1	-6	15.0	15.0	-0.02	15.6	14.7	0.88
Tyronn Lue	39	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	15.3	14.8	0.48	15.4	14.5	0.86
Charlie Ward	58	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-3	2	14.8	15.3	-0.48	14.5	15.4	-0.86
Jim Jackson	92	91	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.41	0	-4	4	15.0	13.6	1.44	14.4	24.0	-9.63
Maurice Taylor	56	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.50	2	-6	8	14.5	15.6	-1.03	13.4	16.9	-3.45
Yao Ming	75	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-2	0	15.0	14.9	0.08	14.8	15.3	-0.53
Tracy McGrady	81	82	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.40	-5	1	-6	14.8	16.0	-1.23	15.3	12.6	2.70

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	60	61	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.32	21	-17	38	14.3	15.9	-1.58	16.1	13.1	3.00
Royal Ivey	51	54	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.36	16	-12	28	13.4	16.6	-3.25	15.7	14.1	1.62
Josh Childress	60	61	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-7	18	15.3	14.1	1.18	15.8	13.5	2.34
Al Harrington	83	83	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	14.9	14.8	0.12	14.9	15.3	-0.37
Antoine Walker	87	87	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.47	-2	6	-8	14.3	20.3	-6.02	15.0	15.0	-0.03
Jelani McCoy	5	5	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	0	4	24.0	14.4	9.63	13.6	15.0	-1.44
Jon Barry	23	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	3	-2	12.8	15.5	-2.69	15.0	14.9	0.10
Jason Collier	18	19	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	13	-22	14.2	15.0	-0.80	12.5	15.6	-3.10
Kevin Willis	19	19	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.04	-6	10	-16	17.6	14.2	3.37	13.9	15.2	-1.34
Boris Diaw	29	29	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.01	-8	12	-20	15.5	14.6	0.92	13.5	15.6	-2.12
Kenny Anderson	45	43	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.02	-12	16	-28	16.6	13.4	3.25	14.1	15.7	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.26,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.37,0.78,0.91,1	92.1%
MIN 82, SEA 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.05,0.12,0.23,0.91,1	91.5%
NYK 71, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.38,0.46,0.65,0.96,1	91.4%