NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	2.3 [1275]		MVP	Marquis Daniels (BOS): +5.4%
New Jersey Nets	75		Comeback	1.1 [1103]		LVP	Travis Outlaw (NJN): -7.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marquis Daniels	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	72%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	13	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.13	0.00	0.11	12	81%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	7	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Von Wafer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Luke Harangody	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semih Erden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	4	29%	-0.01	3	0.00	6	33%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	7	25%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	7	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	59%	0.02	4	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	10	80%	0.04	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Damion James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.13	0.04	-0.09	10	26%	0.02	3	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	41%	0.01	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	7	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.5	29.7	14.7	26.5	2.6	31.5	130.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +26.5%

BOS +5.9%

BOS +10.3%

BOS +7.6%

NJN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	15.5	103.1	77.3	105.7
season	15.7	16.4		104.8	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.8		108.5	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.9	13.2	15.8	16.1	14.5
NJN	19.3	14.5	14.9	12.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	52	52	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.25	25	0	25	13.8	15.3	-1.46	16.5	13.8	2.71
Nate Robinson	63	63	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.39	29	-4	33	13.6	16.1	-2.56	16.5	12.9	3.58
Glen Davis	61	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.36	27	-2	29	13.9	15.5	-1.57	15.6	14.5	1.12
Kevin Garnett	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.21	19	6	13	13.9	15.2	-1.32	16.3	13.9	2.37
Marquis Daniels	63	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	13	-1	14.4	14.6	-0.16	14.3	16.8	-2.44
Shaquille O'Neal	24	25	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.13	15	10	5	13.6	14.8	-1.14	16.1	14.9	1.18
Paul Pierce	45	46	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.19	11	14	-3	14.6	14.3	0.30	17.0	13.6	3.37
Avery Bradley	31	30	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	26	-27	16.2	13.7	2.46	11.6	16.8	-5.17
Von Wafer	37	37	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.04	-1	26	-27	15.5	13.9	1.58	13.5	16.3	-2.82
Luke Harangody	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	30	-35	17.7	13.7	3.98	11.4	16.1	-4.69
Semih Erden	38	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	31	-37	15.3	14.0	1.28	14.2	15.8	-1.56

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Graham	26	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-25	25	12.2	16.3	-4.07	16.3	13.8	2.49
Quinton Ross	29	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-29	33	12.1	16.5	-4.38	15.8	14.0	1.76
Troy Murphy	25	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.16	-9	-16	7	14.3	15.5	-1.19	12.7	15.1	-2.36
Damion James	52	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-20	15	14.4	16.1	-1.65	15.1	13.8	1.38
Derrick Favors	57	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-20	15	14.0	16.9	-2.88	15.0	13.8	1.21
Brook Lopez	40	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.15	-12	-13	1	17.6	13.5	4.12	14.0	14.9	-0.90
Johan Petro	47	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-15	5	13.7	16.6	-2.96	15.4	13.6	1.77
Jordan Farmar	53	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.30	-18	-7	-11	15.2	15.2	-0.04	14.2	14.9	-0.72
Kris Humphries	25	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-11	-3	17.8	14.3	3.49	14.2	14.6	-0.38
Anthony Morrow	42	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.24	-18	-7	-11	17.5	13.4	4.13	13.2	15.6	-2.48
Travis Outlaw	39	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	-7	-11	17.3	13.8	3.56	13.4	15.2	-1.88
Devin Harris	50	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	-5	-15	15.7	14.7	1.06	14.6	14.3	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 103, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
HOU 120, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
MIA 84, ORL 60	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%