NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	2.6 [997]		MVP	Mike Bibby (NYK): +11.8%
Detroit Pistons	80		Comeback	1.2 [750]		LVP	Brandon Knight (DET): -6.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.00	0.05	5	114%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	15	58%	0.07	2	-0.01	8	75%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	-0.00	-0.06	14	43%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.05	5	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Harrellson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jerome Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	8	44%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Henry Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	4	73%	0.04	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	5	58%	0.03	3	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Macklin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.02
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	-0.01	-0.08	9	18%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.18	-0.00	-0.12	12	48%	0.04	9	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.05	19	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.0	30.1	15.4	28.4	2.4	26.5	131.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +23.9%

NYK +4.8%

NYK +6.9%

NYK +14.6%

DET -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	16.6	15.6	112.0	87.9	102.8
season	14.9	16.3		102.3	99.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.4	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.5	16.0	13.4	15.9	14.9
DET	17.6	14.7	16.6	17.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	54	54	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.24	29	-6	35	14.8	15.1	-0.31	17.0	16.0	0.99
Amar'e Stoudemire	52	52	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.15	24	-1	25	14.4	15.6	-1.15	18.7	13.7	5.02
Mike Bibby	31	32	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.31	26	-3	29	15.0	14.9	0.16	14.1	17.9	-3.76
Carmelo Anthony	61	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.31	26	-3	29	14.5	15.8	-1.33	16.3	17.1	-0.81
Josh Harrellson	51	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	11	1	15.7	13.9	1.84	15.3	18.2	-2.88
Tyson Chandler	57	56	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.25	15	8	7	14.6	15.4	-0.81	15.8	17.8	-2.06
Iman Shumpert	50	50	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	22	-21	14.7	15.2	-0.49	18.7	14.0	4.70
Renaldo Balkman	24	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	29	-35	15.4	14.7	0.67	17.3	16.3	0.94
Steve Novak	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	27	-31	15.1	14.9	0.24	15.9	16.7	-0.75
Jeremy Lin	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	14.7	14.9	-0.19	17.4	16.5	0.94
Jerome Jordan	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	14.7	14.9	-0.19	17.4	16.5	0.94
Henry Walker	36	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	24	-25	15.7	14.4	1.22	15.9	17.0	-1.04
Toney Douglas	12	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	28	-33	15.3	14.9	0.47	13.6	17.0	-3.33

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vernon Macklin	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-24	25	18.1	16.4	1.73	13.2	15.1	-1.93
Ben Wallace	26	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-27	31	16.5	16.6	-0.14	15.3	14.8	0.58
Damien Wilkins	48	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-23	23	16.4	16.8	-0.44	15.2	14.6	0.60
Will Bynum	46	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-21	19	16.3	16.8	-0.47	15.1	14.8	0.33
Jason Maxiell	46	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-19	15	15.6	17.6	-1.97	15.7	14.1	1.68
Greg Monroe	57	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.22	-20	-3	-17	16.8	16.1	0.71	14.8	15.1	-0.31
Ben Gordon	60	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.16	-19	-4	-15	16.2	17.2	-1.01	15.2	14.3	0.98
Tayshaun Prince	43	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.23	-23	0	-23	16.8	16.4	0.44	14.6	15.2	-0.60
Jonas Jerebko	43	41	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.28	-27	4	-31	17.0	16.2	0.75	14.3	15.4	-1.14
Brandon Knight	76	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.22	-25	2	-27	17.0	14.5	2.51	14.6	16.5	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, NJN 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
OKC 124, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.23,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
NJN 111, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%