NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	111		Excitement	2.4 [1225]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +18.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	85		Comeback	1.1 [735]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -14.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.18	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.30	-0.00	0.12	16	92%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	75%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	86%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	4	93%	0.04	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tamar Slay	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	11	59%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Efthimios Rentzias	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	4	45%	0.00	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	21	47%	-0.04	3	-0.04	17	71%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	15	33%	-0.10	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.8	32.3	19.4	28.1	2.7	29.2	142.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +44.3%

NJN +5.4%

PHI -3.0%

NJN +3.3%

NJN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.5	120.7	92.4	101.6
season	15.0	15.3		101.1	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.9		99.9	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.5	14.9	16.0	17.2	15.8
PHI	14.5	15.7	15.3	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	50	50	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.31	31	-5	36	15.1	16.8	-1.73	17.2	13.4	3.82
Jason Kidd	51	52	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.21	23	3	20	15.2	16.6	-1.37	16.1	14.6	1.43
Kerry Kittles	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.22	22	4	18	16.4	14.6	1.72	15.5	15.3	0.15
Brian Scalabrine	72	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.26	21	5	16	15.4	17.4	-1.98	15.4	15.7	-0.37
Aaron Williams	41	40	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.06	12	14	-2	15.1	16.5	-1.35	15.6	15.4	0.21
Jason Collins	51	52	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.20	14	12	2	16.5	15.1	1.35	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Lucious Harris	51	48	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	23	-20	16.1	15.5	0.56	14.1	17.0	-2.91
Anthony Johnson	41	40	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	23	-20	16.6	15.2	1.37	14.6	16.1	-1.43
Tamar Slay	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	20.2	15.5	4.62	16.7	15.4	1.36
Brandon Armstrong	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	16.9	15.7	1.12	15.0	15.5	-0.51
Kenyon Martin	24	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	27	-28	15.5	16.0	-0.53	14.5	15.8	-1.24

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Efthimios Rentzias	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-26	26	15.6	15.4	0.19	17.3	15.5	1.78
Kenny Satterfield	20	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-24	22	15.1	15.5	-0.39	16.0	15.8	0.19
John Salmons	28	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-26	26	14.6	15.8	-1.22	17.0	15.4	1.68
Derrick Coleman	40	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-25	24	13.3	17.1	-3.86	15.7	16.0	-0.33
Aaron McKie	39	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	-17	8	16.0	15.1	0.94	16.2	15.6	0.62
Greg Buckner	28	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-14	2	14.2	16.0	-1.84	15.0	16.2	-1.24
Kenny Thomas	29	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.15	-16	-10	-6	15.2	15.6	-0.31	13.2	17.1	-3.88
Brian Skinner	40	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.40	-26	0	-26	17.4	14.0	3.39	15.4	16.1	-0.73
Keith Van Horn	64	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.13	-17	-9	-8	16.3	13.5	2.81	16.7	14.0	2.75
Allen Iverson	74	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.22	-22	-4	-18	15.3	16.3	-1.02	15.8	15.9	-0.05
Eric Snow	80	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.20	-25	-1	-24	15.7	13.9	1.77	15.8	16.0	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
UTA 108, NYK 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
DAL 128, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%