NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	3.0 [1213]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +7.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	83		Comeback	1.1 [575]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -11.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	8	81%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	65%	0.04	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	17	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	14	100%	0.04
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	7	33%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	12	69%	0.07	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	13	29%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	5	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	11	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	19	52%	0.02	7	-0.13	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	31.1	15.5	24.6	2.7	29.3	129.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +25.6%

DAL +11.3%

DAL +1.4%

DAL +8.6%

DAL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	17.1	13.2	15.5	104.2	88.3	104.0
season	14.9	13.9		108.2	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.0	17.8	17.3	19.9	17.1
PHI	13.1	13.5	13.3	12.8	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	60	61	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.29	26	-9	35	16.4	18.2	-1.74	13.2	13.2	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	72	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.13	19	-2	21	16.5	18.8	-2.25	13.1	13.2	-0.10
Josh Howard	69	68	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.24	20	-3	23	16.9	17.6	-0.73	13.0	13.6	-0.62
Marquis Daniels	27	28	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	15	-13	17.4	17.0	0.47	14.0	12.8	1.18
Michael Finley	65	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	10	-3	17.0	17.4	-0.47	13.0	13.5	-0.58
Keith Van Horn	35	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	16	-15	19.3	15.9	3.43	14.1	12.6	1.50
Jerry Stackhouse	28	28	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	12	-7	17.9	16.8	1.11	13.2	13.1	0.11
Shawn Bradley	46	44	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	9	-1	16.3	17.8	-1.45	12.8	13.5	-0.66
Alan Henderson	5	6	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	12	-7	16.4	17.1	-0.74	13.5	13.1	0.35
Erick Dampier	34	34	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	16	-15	17.2	17.1	0.11	12.6	13.5	-0.82
Devin Harris	33	30	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.26	-8	25	-33	17.6	16.8	0.81	13.5	13.0	0.48
Darrell Armstrong	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	19.5	16.9	2.56	11.3	13.3	-1.96

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-22	27	13.3	13.1	0.12	19.3	16.4	2.89
John Salmons	40	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.22	5	-22	27	13.6	12.8	0.84	19.1	15.7	3.46
Samuel Dalembert	27	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	-9	1	13.4	13.1	0.38	15.5	17.8	-2.32
Aaron McKie	32	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-9	1	13.4	13.0	0.41	18.6	16.3	2.24
Marc Jackson	62	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-15	13	13.2	13.2	0.02	18.1	15.2	2.84
Josh Davis	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-12	7	13.1	13.3	-0.22	18.3	15.7	2.63
Kyle Korver	53	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	-2	-13	13.1	13.2	-0.09	15.2	19.6	-4.42
Rodney Rogers	46	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	2	-21	13.1	13.2	-0.12	15.5	18.7	-3.21
Andre Iguodala	74	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.06	-16	-1	-15	12.9	14.1	-1.18	16.8	18.3	-1.52
Allen Iverson	60	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.21	-22	5	-27	13.0	13.4	-0.42	16.3	18.6	-2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, CHA 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
TOR 92, CHA 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
HOU 100, NOH 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%