NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	123		Excitement	6.9 [461]		MVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): +42.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	116		Comeback	9.4 [94]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -8.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0.42	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.22	0.22	0.02	10	92%	0.43	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Daniel Gibson	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.11	0.17	-0.01	9	74%	0.36	2	-0.07	9	67%	0.00
Joey Graham	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jamario Moon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	12	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Mo Williams	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	15	52%	0.03	3	-0.06	12	83%	-0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	53%	0.06	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Anthony Parker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	70%	0.03	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Jawad Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.32	0.32	0.21	0.13	0.02	17	69%	0.32	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.03
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	12	69%	0.15	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kapono	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	80%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.05	0.02	10	75%	0.13	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	14	52%	0.09	2	-0.10	3	67%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	7	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	32.2	16.4	26.3	2.4	44.3	148.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +0.1%

CLE +28.3%

CLE +11.5%

CLE +8.4%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.5	124.2	119.6	105.7
season	15.1	15.5		100.8	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.4	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.9	14.8	18.5	11.0	14.8
PHI	12.9	15.2	15.0	15.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	66	65	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.35	13	-6	19	13.5	17.5	-4.06	13.6	16.5	-2.82
Daniel Gibson	56	55	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.33	12	-5	17	14.3	15.5	-1.20	14.9	14.1	0.77
JJ Hickson	63	62	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-4	15	15.4	13.7	1.71	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Anderson Varejao	77	75	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.21	14	-7	21	13.5	19.5	-5.97	14.7	14.2	0.45
Anthony Parker	65	62	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	0	7	13.3	17.6	-4.28	14.0	15.6	-1.60
Jamario Moon	56	52	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.13	3	4	-1	14.0	15.8	-1.82	13.4	15.9	-2.45
Ryan Hollins	22	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	14	-21	19.5	13.5	5.97	14.2	14.7	-0.45
Joey Graham	26	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	12	-17	16.7	14.1	2.61	16.4	13.8	2.55
Jawad Williams	31	32	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	14	-21	17.4	13.6	3.75	15.7	14.0	1.61
Ramon Sessions	33	32	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.06	-6	13	-19	17.5	13.5	4.06	16.5	13.6	2.82

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	24	22	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.05	9	-16	25	15.2	14.4	0.84	18.5	13.7	4.81
Darius Songaila	10	10	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-12	17	15.1	14.5	0.58	14.2	14.9	-0.68
Evan Turner	50	52	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.28	9	-16	25	13.4	15.8	-2.43	15.9	13.6	2.35
Jason Kapono	16	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-8	9	9.6	15.6	-6.01	13.4	15.1	-1.69
Tony Battie	51	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.47	14	-21	35	15.3	13.8	1.51	15.9	13.6	2.34
Thaddeus Young	31	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.00	-4	-3	-1	13.5	15.1	-1.61	14.9	14.8	0.13
Andre Iguodala	38	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	2	-11	15.0	14.3	0.74	14.0	15.3	-1.31
Jrue Holiday	77	80	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.30	2	-9	11	14.8	13.8	0.98	14.6	15.8	-1.21
Andres Nocioni	62	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	1	-9	15.6	12.8	2.78	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	12	14	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.24	-18	11	-29	15.7	14.4	1.34	13.5	15.0	-1.52
Elton Brand	60	63	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.16	-20	13	-33	14.6	14.5	0.19	14.5	15.4	-0.91
Lou Williams	54	54	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.29	-16	9	-25	14.6	14.5	0.12	13.3	16.6	-3.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.75,0.46,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 126, GSW 118	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.55,0.11,0.06,0,0	91.0%
POR 103, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.72,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.37,0.09,0,0	90.3%
PHI 112, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.37,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.82,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.23,0.05,0	89.9%