NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	112		Excitement	6.6 [537]		MVP	Marc Jackson (PHI): +23.5%
Washington Wizards	106		Comeback	22.4 [29]		LVP	Larry Hughes (WAS): -26.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Jackson	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.08	0.15	-0.01	11	71%	0.25	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.04
Andre Iguodala	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	12	65%	0.08	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Rodney Rogers	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	14	61%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	15	56%	0.15	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Willie Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	18	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Josh Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	2	75%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.23	0.23	0.20	0.09	0.06	24	70%	0.26	1	-0.03	15	80%	0.06
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	18	39%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.16	0.01	19	51%	-0.04	5	-0.23	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	31.8	15.0	23.2	2.4	38.5	139.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +20.4%

WAS -4.2%

PHI +13.6%

PHI +19.2%

PHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.5	117.9	109.3	104.0
season	13.9	14.7		101.1	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.8		105.5	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.5	16.4	17.0	13.5	14.9
WAS	18.0	13.0	13.6	15.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	61	61	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.27	16	-10	26	14.7	15.2	-0.52	15.3	14.8	0.55
Willie Green	74	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-5	16	14.5	16.3	-1.81	16.1	12.1	3.98
Samuel Dalembert	51	53	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.54	4	2	2	15.0	14.7	0.27	15.4	14.8	0.64
Aaron McKie	62	64	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-5	16	15.1	14.4	0.69	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Andre Iguodala	84	85	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.40	8	-2	10	14.8	15.1	-0.25	14.8	17.1	-2.24
Josh Davis	21	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	5	-4	15.2	14.8	0.41	15.3	15.1	0.25
Rodney Rogers	48	50	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	10	-14	15.0	14.7	0.34	15.3	15.0	0.28
Kyle Korver	38	37	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.10	-7	13	-20	14.2	15.3	-1.15	14.6	15.4	-0.81
John Salmons	36	39	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.15	-10	16	-26	15.8	14.3	1.50	13.7	16.1	-2.31

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	68	67	0.47	-0.97	1.43	0.09	13	-19	32	14.4	16.8	-2.33	15.6	13.2	2.30
Juan Dixon	33	33	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.10	1	-7	8	15.9	14.7	1.24	14.3	15.2	-0.87
Kwame Brown	18	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-5	4	16.3	14.9	1.42	16.4	14.5	1.87
Larry Hughes	92	90	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-4	2	14.6	24.2	-9.57	14.8	16.0	-1.19
Gilbert Arenas	94	92	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	15.2	14.0	1.16	14.9	13.0	1.93
Etan Thomas	49	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.45	-4	-2	-2	14.3	16.0	-1.65	14.1	15.7	-1.55
Michael Ruffin	52	48	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.12	-16	10	-26	16.3	13.8	2.55	15.2	14.6	0.63
Antawn Jamison	79	78	-0.98	0.48	-1.46	-0.48	-17	11	-28	15.4	14.0	1.38	14.5	16.8	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.37,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.82,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.23,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 103, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.72,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.37,0.09,0,0	90.7%
IND 96, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.66,0.73,0.61,0.54,0.45,0.09,0	90.4%
CLE 123, PHI 116	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.75,0.46,0.09,0.01,0	89.9%