NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	103		Excitement	6.4 [319]		MVP	Greg Anthony (POR): +16.7%
Phoenix Suns	93		Comeback	4.2 [117]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): -19.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.01	0.14	-0.02	3	67%	0.17	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.01	7	76%	0.20	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.05
Brian Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	12	71%	0.13	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Walt Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	9	58%	0.05	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.05
Jim Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	76%	0.03	4	-0.09	9	100%	0.03
Damon Stoudamire	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	9	41%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	13	53%	-0.02	6	-0.17	8	62%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	3	87%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	10	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.07	-0.04	19	56%	0.14	3	-0.18	5	40%	-0.03
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	10	52%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	12	46%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	12	57%	0.02	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.3	28.6	19.5	30.3	2.6	42.3	152.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +23.9%

POR +34.2%

POR +14.4%

PHX -21.7%

PHX -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	16.6	14.3	15.8	110.8	100.0	99.6
season	16.0	15.3		102.0	102.7
opponent	15.9	15.9		101.3	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.9	19.0	18.9	13.7	16.6
PHX	14.7	14.6	14.7	13.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	80	80	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.28	21	-11	32	15.5	23.5	-7.94	14.2	15.0	-0.77
Arvydas Sabonis	65	64	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.23	14	-4	18	17.6	14.5	3.05	15.5	11.8	3.69
Greg Anthony	43	44	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.27	12	-2	14	14.4	18.6	-4.16	14.6	14.1	0.45
Isaiah Rider	55	56	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.11	14	-4	18	16.1	17.4	-1.24	14.5	14.1	0.33
Brian Grant	69	70	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.23	1	9	-8	17.1	15.2	1.87	14.1	15.2	-1.12
Jim Jackson	43	42	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.32	-4	14	-18	15.7	17.5	-1.83	13.2	15.2	-2.00
Stacey Augmon	17	15	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	9	-8	15.9	16.8	-0.92	11.7	14.8	-3.10
Damon Stoudamire	51	50	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	12	-14	18.2	14.7	3.50	13.9	14.9	-0.98
Walt Williams	22	25	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	13	-16	18.8	16.0	2.86	16.0	13.7	2.22
Jermaine O'Neal	20	19	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.08	-4	14	-18	18.9	16.0	2.95	14.5	14.3	0.24

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Livingston	10	10	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-10	10	21.9	13.4	8.48	17.0	16.6	0.41
Luc Longley	24	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-7	4	16.9	13.4	3.48	16.3	16.7	-0.41
Pat Garrity	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-7	4	16.7	13.5	3.20	16.5	16.7	-0.21
Rex Chapman	45	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-6	2	13.7	14.9	-1.21	15.4	17.8	-2.42
Tom Gugliotta	80	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	14.2	15.2	-1.04	17.0	14.1	2.93
Danny Manning	63	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-7	4	14.2	14.5	-0.30	18.6	12.6	5.98
George McCloud	55	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.13	-12	2	-14	14.1	14.7	-0.55	15.9	17.7	-1.78
Jason Kidd	84	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	0	-10	13.3	24.1	-10.83	16.4	18.8	-2.37
Clifford Robinson	81	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.28	-9	-1	-8	13.8	18.2	-4.50	16.2	19.1	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.72,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.37,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 126, GSW 118	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.55,0.11,0.06,0,0	91.2%
PHI 112, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.37,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.82,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.23,0.05,0	90.7%
DEN 102, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.24,0.15,0	90.4%